مدرسة الاحتمالاتodds.school
النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)
+ نموذج جديدجميع النماذج

Miami Heat v Detroit Pistons

2026-11-15 01:10 UTC — NBA

نتيجة المباراة

69 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Miami Heat (المضيف)

التنبؤ 39.26%2.55السعر العادل
EV +2.08%
الأفضلية +0.800%
Kelly +1.30%
النمو +0.027%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.74%39.16%39.25%41.33%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.452.452.6045.45%40.87%40.82%38.46%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Detroit Pistons (الضيف)

التنبؤ 60.74%1.65السعر العادل
EV -1.60%
الأفضلية -0.989%
Kelly -2.59%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.62

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.67%60.84%60.75%63.26%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.441.561.571.6269.44%64.19%63.69%61.73%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

بالنسبة إلى سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩، يقدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ الاحتمالات الآتية: ⁨Miami Heat (المضيف)⁩: ⁨39.26%⁩؛ ⁨Detroit Pistons (الضيف)⁩: ⁨60.74%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Miami Heat (المضيف)⁩، يعادل هذا التقدير سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨2.55⁩. تعرض 12 شركة مراهنات أسعارًا أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وأفضل سعر متاح هو ⁨2.60⁩، ما ينتج قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+2.08%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (69 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +2.08%E +0.800%K +1.30%G +0.027%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-15 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +2.08%E +0.800%K +1.30%G +0.027%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-15 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +2.08%E +0.800%K +1.30%G +0.027%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-15 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +2.08%E +0.800%K +1.30%G +0.027%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-15 00:20
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV +2.08%E +0.800%K +1.30%G +0.027%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -7.68%E -5.05%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-15 00:45
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.08%E +0.800%K +1.30%G +0.027%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.28%E -5.49%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-15 00:45
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.08%E +0.800%K +1.30%G +0.027%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.28%E -5.49%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-15 00:45
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.08%E +0.800%K +1.30%G +0.027%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.28%E -5.49%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-15 00:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +0.116%E +0.045%K +0.075%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -7.68%E -5.05%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-15 00:20
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.116%E +0.045%K +0.075%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.28%E -5.49%K -16.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-15 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.116%E +0.045%K +0.075%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.89%E -5.93%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-15 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV +0.116%E +0.045%K +0.075%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -9.50%E -6.38%K -19.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-15 00:20
BetAnything🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -1.45%E -0.580%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-15 00:35
SportsBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -1.45%E -0.580%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -5.25%E -3.36%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-15 00:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -1.45%E -0.580%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -5.85%E -3.78%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-15 00:30
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.85%E -0.739%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.43%E -2.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-15 00:53
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.85%E -0.739%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-14 22:10
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.85%E -0.739%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.25%E -3.36%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-15 00:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.85%E -0.739%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.25%E -3.36%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-15 00:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.85%E -0.739%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.46%E -4.20%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-15 00:20
Pinnacle🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%EV -2.24%E -0.900%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%EV -1.60%E -0.989%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.9%2026-11-15 00:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -2.63%E -1.06%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.82%E -1.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.8%2026-11-15 00:39
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -2.63%E -1.06%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.08%EV -4.03%E -2.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-14 18:25
Coolbet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.63%E -1.06%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-15 00:55
Caesars🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.63%E -1.06%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-15 00:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.03%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.82%E -1.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-15 00:40
BetUS🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -3.42%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -3.43%E -2.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-11-15 00:35
DraftKings🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -3.42%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -4.03%E -2.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-14 18:15
GTbets🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.43%E -2.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-14 18:30
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.43%E -2.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-15 00:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.43%E -2.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-14 23:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.03%E -2.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-15 00:20
TAB🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.03%E -2.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-14 23:10
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-15 00:50
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-15 00:55
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-15 00:50
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.85%E -3.78%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-15 00:50
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-14 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-14 18:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -12.54%E -8.71%K -28.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-15 00:20
ReBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.60%E -1.89%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.43%E -2.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-15 00:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.60%E -1.89%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.43%E -2.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-15 00:25
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.82%E -1.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-15 00:49
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.82%E -1.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-15 00:45
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.82%E -1.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-14 19:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.43%E -2.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-14 18:14
picklebet_au🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.03%E -2.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-15 00:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.03%E -2.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-15 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.03%E -2.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-15 00:55
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.85%E -3.78%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-15 00:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.85%E -3.78%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-15 00:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.85%E -3.78%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-14 23:50
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-14 21:00
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-14 22:55
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-14 20:59
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-15 00:05
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-15 00:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-14 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-14 21:00
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-14 18:20
Betsson🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.95%E -2.93%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -5.25%E -3.36%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-15 00:55
NordicBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.95%E -2.93%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -5.25%E -3.36%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-15 00:55
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.74%E -3.29%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.82%E -1.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-14 18:34
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.74%E -3.29%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.43%E -2.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-15 00:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -8.91%E -3.84%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.73%EV -8.89%E -5.93%K -17.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-14 23:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -9.70%E -4.22%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.69%EV -9.50%E -6.38%K -19.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-14 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -11.66%E -5.18%K -9.33%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.68%E -5.05%K -14.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-15 00:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -12.45%E -5.58%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.63%EV -8.28%E -5.49%K -16.24%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-15 00:48
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -13.63%E -6.19%K -11.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -5.85%E -3.78%K -10.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-15 00:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%0.3%2026-11-15 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%0.3%2026-11-15 00:55
Novig◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-11-15 00:40
BetOpenly◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-11-15 00:55
Matchbook◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-11-15 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-11-15 00:55
ProphetX◎2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%0.7%2026-11-15 00:55
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-11-14 23:30
Polymarket◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-11-14 18:05
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%1.7%2026-11-15 00:55

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