Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Heat v Detroit Pistons

2026-11-15 01:10 UTC — NBA

Resultado del partido

69 corredores (22 en el análisis )

39%

61%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Heat (Local)

Predicción 39.26%2.55momio equitativo

EV +2.08%

Ventaja +0.800%

Kelly +1.30%

Crecimiento +0.027%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

36.74%39.16%39.25%41.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

2.202.452.452.6045.45%40.87%40.82%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Pistons (Visitante)

Predicción 60.74%1.65momio equitativo

EV -1.60%

Ventaja -0.989%

Kelly -2.59%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

58.67%60.84%60.75%63.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.441.561.571.6269.44%64.19%63.69%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Miami Heat (Local): 39.26%; Detroit Pistons (Visitante): 60.74%. Para Miami Heat (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.55. 12 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.60, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +2.08%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (69 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +2.08%E +0.800%K +1.30%G +0.027%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.34%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-15 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +2.08%E +0.800%K +1.30%G +0.027%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.34%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-15 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +2.08%E +0.800%K +1.30%G +0.027%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.34%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-15 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +2.08%E +0.800%K +1.30%G +0.027%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.34%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-15 00:20
Unibet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV +2.08%E +0.800%K +1.30%G +0.027%	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -7.68%E -5.05%K -14.76%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-15 00:45
BetRivers🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.08%E +0.800%K +1.30%G +0.027%	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.28%E -5.49%K -16.24%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-15 00:45
betPARX🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.08%E +0.800%K +1.30%G +0.027%	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.28%E -5.49%K -16.24%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-15 00:45
Bally Bet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +2.08%E +0.800%K +1.30%G +0.027%	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.28%E -5.49%K -16.24%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-15 00:45
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV +0.116%E +0.045%K +0.075%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -7.68%E -5.05%K -14.76%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-15 00:20
TABtouch🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.116%E +0.045%K +0.075%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.28%E -5.49%K -16.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-15 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.116%E +0.045%K +0.075%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.89%E -5.93%K -17.78%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-15 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV +0.116%E +0.045%K +0.075%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -9.50%E -6.38%K -19.39%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-15 00:20
BetAnything🎯	2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -1.45%E -0.580%K -0.963%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-11-15 00:35
SportsBet🎯	2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -1.45%E -0.580%K -0.963%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -5.25%E -3.36%K -9.37%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-15 00:50
Marathon Bet🎯	2.51I 39.84%NM 38.18%EV -1.45%E -0.580%K -0.963%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -5.85%E -3.78%K -10.64%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-15 00:30
Everygame🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.85%E -0.739%K -1.23%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.43%E -2.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-11-15 00:53
theScore Bet🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.85%E -0.739%K -1.23%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-14 22:10
FanDuel🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.85%E -0.739%K -1.23%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.25%E -3.36%K -9.37%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-15 00:50
Betr (AU)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.85%E -0.739%K -1.23%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.25%E -3.36%K -9.37%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-15 00:54
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.85%E -0.739%K -1.23%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.46%E -4.20%K -11.97%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-15 00:20
Pinnacle🎯	2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%EV -2.24%E -0.900%K -1.50%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%EV -1.60%E -0.989%K -2.59%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-11-15 00:35
LowVig.ag🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -2.63%E -1.06%K -1.78%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.82%E -1.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-11-15 00:39
1xBet🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.92%EV -2.63%E -1.06%K -1.78%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 61.08%EV -4.03%E -2.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-11-14 18:25
Coolbet🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.63%E -1.06%K -1.78%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-15 00:55
Caesars🎯	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.63%E -1.06%K -1.78%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-15 00:40
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -3.03%E -1.22%K -2.06%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.82%E -1.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-11-15 00:40
BetUS🎯	2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -3.42%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -3.43%E -2.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-11-15 00:35
DraftKings🎯	2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -3.42%E -1.39%K -2.34%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -4.03%E -2.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-14 18:15
GTbets🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.43%E -2.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-14 18:30
Bovada🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.43%E -2.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-15 00:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.43%E -2.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-11-14 23:20
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.03%E -2.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-15 00:20
TAB🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.03%E -2.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-14 23:10
Fanatics🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-15 00:50
BetMGM🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-15 00:55
Neds🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-15 00:50
PlayUp🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.85%E -3.78%K -10.64%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-15 00:50
Paddy Power🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.34%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-14 18:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.34%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-14 18:04
PMU (FR)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -3.81%E -1.56%K -2.63%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 62.98%EV -12.54%E -8.71%K -28.49%G +0.000%	10.3%	2026-11-15 00:20
ReBet🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.60%E -1.89%K -3.21%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.43%E -2.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-15 00:20
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.60%E -1.89%K -3.21%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.43%E -2.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-15 00:25
betano_uk🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.82%E -1.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-15 00:49
Bet Victor🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.82%E -1.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-15 00:45
Dabble (AU)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.82%E -1.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-14 19:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.43%E -2.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-14 18:14
picklebet_au🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.03%E -2.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-15 00:00
Codere (IT)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.03%E -2.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-15 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.03%E -2.55%K -6.95%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-15 00:55
Coral🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.85%E -3.78%K -10.64%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-15 00:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.85%E -3.78%K -10.64%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-15 00:55
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.77%E -2.41%K -4.12%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.85%E -3.78%K -10.64%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-14 23:50
888sport🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-14 21:00
betfred_uk🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-14 22:55
William Hill🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-14 20:59
BoyleSports🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-15 00:05
Casumo🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-15 00:05
888sport (SE)🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-14 21:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-14 21:00
Sky Bet🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.56%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.64%E -2.96%K -8.14%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-14 18:20
Betsson🎯	2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.95%E -2.93%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -5.25%E -3.36%K -9.37%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-15 00:55
NordicBet🎯	2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.95%E -2.93%K -5.07%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -5.25%E -3.36%K -9.37%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-15 00:55
Bet Right🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.74%E -3.29%K -5.73%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.82%E -1.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 18:34
Fliff🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.74%E -3.29%K -5.73%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.43%E -2.15%K -5.81%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-11-15 00:40
NetBet (FR)🎯	2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -8.91%E -3.84%K -6.75%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 60.73%EV -8.89%E -5.93%K -17.78%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-11-14 23:35
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -9.70%E -4.22%K -7.46%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 60.69%EV -9.50%E -6.38%K -19.39%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-11-14 22:55
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -11.66%E -5.18%K -9.33%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.68%E -5.05%K -14.76%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-11-15 00:20
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 40.37%EV -12.45%E -5.58%K -10.12%G +0.000%	1.51I 66.23%NM 59.63%EV -8.28%E -5.49%K -16.24%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-11-15 00:48
LeoVegas🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -13.63%E -6.19%K -11.35%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -5.85%E -3.78%K -10.64%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-11-15 00:20

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%	0.3%	2026-11-15 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%	0.3%	2026-11-15 00:55
Novig◎	2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%	1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%	0.4%	2026-11-15 00:40
BetOpenly◎	2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%	1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%	0.6%	2026-11-15 00:55
Matchbook◎	2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%	0.7%	2026-11-15 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%	0.7%	2026-11-15 00:55
ProphetX◎	2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%	1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%	0.7%	2026-11-15 00:55
Kalshi◎	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%	1.0%	2026-11-14 23:30
Polymarket◎	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%	1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%	1.0%	2026-11-14 18:05
Smarkets◎	2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%	1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%	1.7%	2026-11-15 00:55

Comente este partido en odds.forum

Aún no hay comentarios publicados.