Language:English
Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Heat (Local)
Prediction 83.42%1.20fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -8.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.31%83.18%83.58%85.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.141.141.1890.09%87.51%87.72%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Brooklyn Nets (Visit)
Prediction 16.58%6.03fair odd
EV +11.89%
Edge +1.76%
Kelly +2.07%
Growth +0.246%
assuming max odds 6.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.56%16.82%16.42%19.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.655.785.806.7521.51%17.29%17.24%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Heat (Local): 83.42%; Brooklyn Nets (Visit): 16.58%. For Brooklyn Nets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.03. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.44%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.56%EV +11.89%E +1.76%K +2.07%G +0.246% | 1.8% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.20%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.80%EV +6.92%E +1.07%K +1.27%G +0.088% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +3.61%E +0.577%K +0.687%G +0.025% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 22:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV +2.78%E +0.448%K +0.534%G +0.015% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 00:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV +1.12%E +0.184%K +0.220%G +0.002% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +0.291%E +0.048%K +0.058%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.96%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.02I 16.61%NM 16.04%EV -0.206%E -0.034%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 22:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 21:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 21:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 22:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 18:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 23:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 00:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 17:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 22:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.71%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 5.91I 16.92%NM 16.29%EV -2.03%E -0.343%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 22:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -2.20%E -0.372%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -2.20%E -0.372%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 00:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -2.20%E -0.372%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -2.20%E -0.372%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.78%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000% | 5.89I 16.98%NM 16.22%EV -2.36%E -0.401%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-03 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -3.23%E -2.78%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -3.85%E -0.664%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -3.85%E -0.664%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 21:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -7.40%E -6.67%K -67.28%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -3.85%E -0.664%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 21:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 21:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 21:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 21:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 00:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -1.56%E -1.32%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -3.23%E -2.78%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -8.00%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -2.40%E -2.05%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 00:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 00:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 21:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -2.40%E -2.05%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -10.48%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.40%E -2.05%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.23%E -2.78%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.23%E -2.78%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 22:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.23%E -2.78%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -13.80%E -2.65%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.40%E -2.05%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -17.11%E -3.42%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.31%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -22.92%E -4.93%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.97% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 15.03% | -0.3% | 2026-03-03 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 00:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.90% | 6.58I 15.20%NM 15.10% | 0.7% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 0.7% | 2026-03-03 18:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.34% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 15.66% | 1.3% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.89% | 6.46I 15.48%NM 15.11% | 2.4% | 2026-03-04 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23% | 2.6% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |