La escuela de los momios

Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets

Inicio: 2026-03-04 00:40 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Miami Heat (Local)

Predicción 83.42%1.20momio equitativo
EV -1.56%
Ventaja -1.32%
Kelly -8.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
80.31%83.18%83.58%85.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.111.141.141.1890.09%87.51%87.72%84.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Brooklyn Nets (Visitante)

Predicción 16.58%6.03momio equitativo
EV +11.89%
Ventaja +1.76%
Kelly +2.07%
Crecimiento +0.246%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.56%16.82%16.42%19.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.655.785.806.7521.51%17.29%17.24%14.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.15I 86.96%NM 85.44%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.56%EV +11.89%E +1.76%K +2.07%G +0.246%1.8%2026-03-04 00:15
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 85.20%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.80%EV +6.92%E +1.07%K +1.27%G +0.088%4.8%2026-03-04 00:30
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +3.61%E +0.577%K +0.687%G +0.025%4.5%2026-03-03 22:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV +2.78%E +0.448%K +0.534%G +0.015%3.8%2026-03-04 00:19
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV +1.12%E +0.184%K +0.220%G +0.002%4.1%2026-03-04 00:35
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +0.291%E +0.048%K +0.058%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 21:55
LowVig.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.96%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%6.02I 16.61%NM 16.04%EV -0.206%E -0.034%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 22:30
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 00:30
Unibet (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 00:30
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 00:30
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 00:30
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:35
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 21:54
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 21:50
BetAnything1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 22:05
Codere (IT)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 18:35
Bet Right1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:40
Betr (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 00:25
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:00
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 17:15
Coral1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 22:50
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:30
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.71%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 16.29%EV -2.03%E -0.343%K -0.413%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 22:30
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -2.20%E -0.372%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 00:35
Coolbet1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -2.20%E -0.372%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 00:20
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -2.20%E -0.372%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 22:00
GTbets1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -2.20%E -0.372%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 22:30
MyBookie.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.78%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.22%EV -2.36%E -0.401%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 21:55
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -3.23%E -2.78%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -3.85%E -0.664%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 00:15
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -3.85%E -0.664%K -0.803%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 21:50
NetBet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -7.40%E -6.67%K -67.28%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -3.85%E -0.664%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 21:59
TABtouch1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:30
betPARX1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:30
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:30
Bally Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:30
Fanatics1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 21:55
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 21:55
Dabble (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:00
888sport1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 21:55
888sport (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 21:55
Mr Green (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 21:55
theScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 22:00
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 00:20
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -1.56%E -1.32%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-04 00:15
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 00:30
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 00:30
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 00:30
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -3.23%E -2.78%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -8.00%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 22:55
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -2.40%E -2.05%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 00:34
Bovada1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:01
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 21:55
LeoVegas1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 00:30
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -2.40%E -2.05%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -10.48%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 00:35
PlayUp1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.40%E -2.05%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 00:00
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.23%E -2.78%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 22:00
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.23%E -2.78%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 22:00
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:35
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.23%E -2.78%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -13.80%E -2.65%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 00:30
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.40%E -2.05%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -17.11%E -3.42%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 00:30
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.31%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -22.92%E -4.93%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 00:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.18I 84.75%NM 84.97%6.67I 14.99%NM 15.03%-0.3%2026-03-03 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-03-04 00:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-03-04 00:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-03-04 00:35
Matchbook1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-03-04 00:25
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 84.90%6.58I 15.20%NM 15.10%0.7%2026-03-04 00:30
Polymarket1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-03-03 18:25
ProphetX1.17I 85.47%NM 84.34%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.66%1.3%2026-03-04 00:30
BetOpenly1.15I 86.96%NM 84.89%6.46I 15.48%NM 15.11%2.4%2026-03-04 00:10
Smarkets1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%2.6%2026-03-04 00:35