Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets

Início: 2026-03-04 00:40 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Heat (Local)

Previsão 83.42%1.20odd justa
EV -1.56%
Vantagem -1.32%
Kelly -8.67%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
80.31%83.18%83.58%85.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.111.141.141.1890.09%87.51%87.72%84.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Brooklyn Nets (Visitante)

Previsão 16.58%6.03odd justa
EV +11.89%
Vantagem +1.76%
Kelly +2.07%
Crescimento +0.246%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.56%16.82%16.42%19.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.655.785.806.7521.51%17.29%17.24%14.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Miami Heat (Local): 83.42%; Brooklyn Nets (Visitante): 16.58%. Para Brooklyn Nets (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.03. 6 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +11.89%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 85.44%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.56%EV +11.89%E +1.76%K +2.07%G +0.246%1.8%2026-03-04 00:15
Fliff🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.20%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.80%EV +6.92%E +1.07%K +1.27%G +0.088%4.8%2026-03-04 00:30
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +3.61%E +0.577%K +0.687%G +0.025%4.5%2026-03-03 22:50
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV +2.78%E +0.448%K +0.534%G +0.015%3.8%2026-03-04 00:19
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV +1.12%E +0.184%K +0.220%G +0.002%4.1%2026-03-04 00:35
Everygame🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +0.291%E +0.048%K +0.058%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.96%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%6.02I 16.61%NM 16.04%EV -0.206%E -0.034%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 00:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 00:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 00:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 00:30
Neds🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:35
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 21:54
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 21:50
BetAnything🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 22:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 18:35
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 00:25
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:00
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 17:15
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 22:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.71%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 16.29%EV -2.03%E -0.343%K -0.413%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 22:30
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -2.20%E -0.372%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 00:35
Coolbet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -2.20%E -0.372%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 00:20
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -2.20%E -0.372%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 22:00
GTbets🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -2.20%E -0.372%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 22:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.78%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.22%EV -2.36%E -0.401%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 21:55
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -3.23%E -2.78%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -3.85%E -0.664%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 00:15
TAB🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -3.85%E -0.664%K -0.803%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 21:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -7.40%E -6.67%K -67.28%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -3.85%E -0.664%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 21:59
TABtouch🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:30
betPARX🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:30
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:30
Bally Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:30
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 21:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 21:55
Dabble (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:00
888sport🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 21:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 21:55
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 22:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 00:20
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -1.56%E -1.32%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-04 00:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 00:30
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 00:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 00:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -3.23%E -2.78%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -8.00%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 22:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -2.40%E -2.05%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 00:34
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:01
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 21:55
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 00:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -2.40%E -2.05%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -10.48%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 00:35
PlayUp🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.40%E -2.05%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 00:00
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.23%E -2.78%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 22:00
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.23%E -2.78%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.23%E -2.78%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -13.80%E -2.65%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 00:30
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.40%E -2.05%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -17.11%E -3.42%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 00:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.31%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -22.92%E -4.93%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 00:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.18I 84.75%NM 84.97%6.67I 14.99%NM 15.03%-0.3%2026-03-03 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-03-04 00:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-03-04 00:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-03-04 00:35
Matchbook1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-03-04 00:25
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 84.90%6.58I 15.20%NM 15.10%0.7%2026-03-04 00:30
Polymarket1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-03-03 18:25
ProphetX1.17I 85.47%NM 84.34%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.66%1.3%2026-03-04 00:30
BetOpenly1.15I 86.96%NM 84.89%6.46I 15.48%NM 15.11%2.4%2026-03-04 00:10
Smarkets1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%2.6%2026-03-04 00:35