L’École des cotes

Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 00:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Miami Heat (Local)

Prévision 83.42%1.20cote équitable
EV -1.56%
Avantage -1.32%
Kelly -8.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
80.31%83.18%83.58%85.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.111.141.141.1890.09%87.51%87.72%84.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Brooklyn Nets (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.58%6.03cote équitable
EV +11.89%
Avantage +1.76%
Kelly +2.07%
Croissance +0.246%

avec la cote maximale 6.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.56%16.82%16.42%19.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.655.785.806.7521.51%17.29%17.24%14.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.15I 86.96%NM 85.44%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.56%EV +11.89%E +1.76%K +2.07%G +0.246%1.8%2026-03-04 00:15
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 85.20%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.80%EV +6.92%E +1.07%K +1.27%G +0.088%4.8%2026-03-04 00:30
BetMGM1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +3.61%E +0.577%K +0.687%G +0.025%4.5%2026-03-03 22:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.47%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.53%EV +2.78%E +0.448%K +0.534%G +0.015%3.8%2026-03-04 00:19
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 84.25%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV +1.12%E +0.184%K +0.220%G +0.002%4.1%2026-03-04 00:35
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV +0.291%E +0.048%K +0.058%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 21:55
LowVig.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.96%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%6.02I 16.61%NM 16.04%EV -0.206%E -0.034%K -0.041%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 22:30
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 00:30
Unibet (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 00:30
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 00:30
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 00:30
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 00:35
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 21:54
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 21:50
BetAnything1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 22:05
Codere (IT)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 18:35
Bet Right1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 23:40
Betr (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 00:25
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:00
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 17:15
Coral1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 22:50
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.538%E -0.090%K -0.108%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:30
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.71%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 16.29%EV -2.03%E -0.343%K -0.413%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 22:30
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -2.20%E -0.372%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 00:35
Coolbet1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -2.20%E -0.372%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 00:20
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -2.20%E -0.372%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 22:00
GTbets1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV -2.20%E -0.372%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 22:30
MyBookie.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.78%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.22%EV -2.36%E -0.401%K -0.483%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-03 21:55
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -3.23%E -2.78%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -3.85%E -0.664%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-04 00:15
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV -3.85%E -0.664%K -0.803%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 21:50
NetBet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.94%EV -7.40%E -6.67%K -67.28%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.06%EV -3.85%E -0.664%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 21:59
TABtouch1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:30
betPARX1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:30
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:30
Bally Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:30
Fanatics1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 21:55
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 21:55
Dabble (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:00
888sport1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 21:55
888sport (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 21:55
Mr Green (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 21:55
theScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.73%E -5.07%K -44.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 22:00
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -4.68%E -0.814%K -0.986%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 00:20
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -1.56%E -1.32%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-04 00:15
Virgin Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 00:30
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 00:30
LiveScore Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.17%E -1.28%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 00:30
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -3.23%E -2.78%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -8.00%E -1.44%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 22:55
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -2.40%E -2.05%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 00:34
Bovada1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 00:01
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 21:55
LeoVegas1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.57%E -5.86%K -54.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.83%E -1.60%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 00:30
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -2.40%E -2.05%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -10.48%E -1.94%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 00:35
PlayUp1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -2.40%E -2.05%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 00:00
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.23%E -2.78%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 22:00
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -3.23%E -2.78%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-03 22:00
Hard Rock Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.06%E -3.53%K -27.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.97%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 00:35
Winamax (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -3.23%E -2.78%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -13.80%E -2.65%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 00:30
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.40%E -2.05%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -17.11%E -3.42%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 00:30
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.31%EV -4.90%E -4.30%K -34.98%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.69%EV -22.92%E -4.93%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 00:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.18I 84.75%NM 84.97%6.67I 14.99%NM 15.03%-0.3%2026-03-03 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-03-04 00:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-03-04 00:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-03-04 00:35
Matchbook1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-03-04 00:25
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 84.90%6.58I 15.20%NM 15.10%0.7%2026-03-04 00:30
Polymarket1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-03-03 18:25
ProphetX1.17I 85.47%NM 84.34%6.30I 15.87%NM 15.66%1.3%2026-03-04 00:30
BetOpenly1.15I 86.96%NM 84.89%6.46I 15.48%NM 15.11%2.4%2026-03-04 00:10
Smarkets1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%2.6%2026-03-04 00:35