Language:English
Miami Heat v Boston Celtics
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Heat (Local)
Prediction 36.60%2.73fair odd
EV +0.646%
Edge +0.235%
Kelly +0.369%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.83%36.55%36.71%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.602.602.7541.15%38.45%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Celtics (Visit)
Prediction 63.40%1.58fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -3.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%63.45%63.29%65.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.511.501.5568.97%66.33%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Heat (Local): 36.60%; Boston Celtics (Visit): 63.40%. For Miami Heat (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.646%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +0.646%E +0.235%K +0.369%G +0.002% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.17%E -4.17%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV +0.646%E +0.235%K +0.369%G +0.002% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.80%E -4.63%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.18%E -0.438%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.18%E -0.438%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.53%E -3.71%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.18%E -0.438%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.53%E -3.71%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 23:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -1.92%E -0.715%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-01 23:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -1.92%E -0.715%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -2.65%E -0.995%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -6.17%E -4.17%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 23:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -1.73%E -1.11%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-01 23:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-01 23:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 23:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 23:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 23:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.38%E -1.28%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.75%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -3.75%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -6.80%E -4.63%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -4.11%E -1.57%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -4.11%E -1.57%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.80%E -4.63%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 23:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -4.48%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-01 23:38 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 23:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 23:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 23:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.17%E -4.17%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-01 23:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.17%E -4.17%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.80%E -4.63%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -5.21%E -2.01%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-01 23:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -5.94%E -2.31%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-01 23:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 23:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-01 23:33 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -7.77%E -3.08%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.16%EV -6.80%E -4.63%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-01 23:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.07%E -5.56%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -11.07%E -4.55%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.63%EV -8.07%E -5.56%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.81I 35.59%NM 35.55% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.45% | 0.1% | 2026-04-01 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89% | 0.3% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89% | 0.3% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89% | 0.3% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 1.1% | 2026-04-01 23:39 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 1.1% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70% | 1.3% | 2026-04-01 23:36 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21% | 1.4% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53% | 1.6% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36% | 1.8% | 2026-04-01 23:40 |