La escuela de los momios

Miami Heat v Boston Celtics

Inicio: 2026-04-01 23:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Miami Heat (Local)

Predicción 36.60%2.73momio equitativo
EV +0.646%
Ventaja +0.235%
Kelly +0.369%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.83%36.55%36.71%37.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.432.602.602.7541.15%38.45%38.46%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Boston Celtics (Visitante)

Predicción 63.40%1.58momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -3.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.03%63.45%63.29%65.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.511.501.5568.97%66.33%66.67%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
theScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +0.646%E +0.235%K +0.369%G +0.002%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.17%E -4.17%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 23:40
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV +0.646%E +0.235%K +0.369%G +0.002%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.80%E -4.63%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:40
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.18%E -0.438%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-01 23:40
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.18%E -0.438%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.53%E -3.71%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 23:40
Caesars2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.18%E -0.438%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.53%E -3.71%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 23:39
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -1.92%E -0.715%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-01 23:39
FanDuel2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -1.92%E -0.715%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 23:40
MyBookie.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -2.65%E -0.995%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -6.17%E -4.17%K -12.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 23:34
Bet Victor2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -1.73%E -1.11%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-01 23:39
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-01 23:39
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:40
TAB2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:39
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:40
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:29
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:40
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:39
DraftKings2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.38%E -1.28%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-01 23:40
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.75%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -3.75%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -6.80%E -4.63%K -14.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 23:40
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -4.11%E -1.57%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-01 23:40
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -4.11%E -1.57%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.80%E -4.63%K -14.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 23:39
BetOnline.ag2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -4.48%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-01 23:40
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-01 23:38
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:29
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:39
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:40
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:40
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:40
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:40
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 23:40
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 23:40
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 23:40
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 23:40
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 23:40
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 23:39
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.17%E -4.17%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.17%E -4.17%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 23:40
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.80%E -4.63%K -14.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 23:40
BetUS2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -5.21%E -2.01%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-01 23:39
ReBet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -5.94%E -2.31%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:29
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 23:30
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 23:40
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 23:40
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 23:40
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 23:40
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 23:40
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 23:40
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 23:40
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 23:40
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 23:40
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 23:40
Betway2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 23:40
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 23:33
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -7.77%E -3.08%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.16%EV -6.80%E -4.63%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 23:30
Dabble (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 23:40
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 23:40
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.07%E -5.56%K -17.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 23:40
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -11.07%E -4.55%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.63%EV -8.07%E -5.56%K -17.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-01 23:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.81I 35.59%NM 35.55%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.45%0.1%2026-04-01 23:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%0.3%2026-04-01 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%0.3%2026-04-01 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%0.3%2026-04-01 23:40
Polymarket2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-04-01 23:39
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-04-01 23:40
Novig2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%1.3%2026-04-01 23:36
ProphetX2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%1.4%2026-04-01 23:40
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%1.6%2026-04-01 23:40
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%1.8%2026-04-01 23:40