L’École des cotes

Miami Heat v Boston Celtics

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-01 23:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Miami Heat (Local)

Prévision 36.60%2.73cote équitable
EV +0.646%
Avantage +0.235%
Kelly +0.369%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.83%36.55%36.71%37.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.432.602.602.7541.15%38.45%38.46%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Boston Celtics (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.40%1.58cote équitable
EV -1.73%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -3.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.03%63.45%63.29%65.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.511.501.5568.97%66.33%66.67%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +0.646%E +0.235%K +0.369%G +0.002%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.17%E -4.17%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 23:40
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV +0.646%E +0.235%K +0.369%G +0.002%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.80%E -4.63%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:40
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.18%E -0.438%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-01 23:40
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.18%E -0.438%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.53%E -3.71%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 23:40
Caesars2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.18%E -0.438%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.53%E -3.71%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 23:39
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -1.92%E -0.715%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-01 23:39
FanDuel2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -1.92%E -0.715%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 23:40
MyBookie.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -2.65%E -0.995%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -6.17%E -4.17%K -12.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 23:34
Bet Victor2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -1.73%E -1.11%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-01 23:39
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-01 23:39
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:40
TAB2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:39
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:40
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:29
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:40
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:39
DraftKings2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.38%E -1.28%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-01 23:40
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.75%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -3.75%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -6.80%E -4.63%K -14.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 23:40
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -4.11%E -1.57%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-01 23:40
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -4.11%E -1.57%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.80%E -4.63%K -14.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 23:39
BetOnline.ag2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -4.48%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-01 23:40
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-01 23:38
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:29
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:39
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:40
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:40
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:40
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:40
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 23:40
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 23:40
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 23:40
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 23:40
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 23:40
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 23:39
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.17%E -4.17%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.17%E -4.17%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 23:40
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.80%E -4.63%K -14.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 23:40
BetUS2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -5.21%E -2.01%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-01 23:39
ReBet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -5.94%E -2.31%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:29
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 23:30
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 23:40
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 23:40
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 23:40
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 23:40
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 23:40
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 23:40
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 23:40
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 23:40
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 23:40
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 23:40
Betway2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 23:40
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 23:33
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -7.77%E -3.08%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.16%EV -6.80%E -4.63%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 23:30
Dabble (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 23:40
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 23:40
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.07%E -5.56%K -17.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 23:40
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -11.07%E -4.55%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.63%EV -8.07%E -5.56%K -17.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-01 23:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.81I 35.59%NM 35.55%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.45%0.1%2026-04-01 23:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%0.3%2026-04-01 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%0.3%2026-04-01 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%0.3%2026-04-01 23:40
Polymarket2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-04-01 23:39
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-04-01 23:40
Novig2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%1.3%2026-04-01 23:36
ProphetX2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%1.4%2026-04-01 23:40
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%1.6%2026-04-01 23:40
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%1.8%2026-04-01 23:40