مدرسة الاحتمالات

Miami Heat v Boston Celtics

البداية: 2026-04-01 23:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Miami Heat (المضيف)

التنبؤ 36.60%2.73السعر العادل
EV +0.646%
الأفضلية +0.235%
Kelly +0.369%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.83%36.55%36.71%37.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.432.602.602.7541.15%38.45%38.46%36.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Boston Celtics (الضيف)

التنبؤ 63.40%1.58السعر العادل
EV -1.73%
الأفضلية -1.11%
Kelly -3.14%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
62.03%63.45%63.29%65.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.451.511.501.5568.97%66.33%66.67%64.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
theScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +0.646%E +0.235%K +0.369%G +0.002%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -6.17%E -4.17%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 23:40
Fliff2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV +0.646%E +0.235%K +0.369%G +0.002%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.80%E -4.63%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:40
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.18%E -0.438%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-01 23:40
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.18%E -0.438%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.53%E -3.71%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 23:40
Caesars2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -1.18%E -0.438%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -5.53%E -3.71%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 23:39
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -1.92%E -0.715%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-01 23:39
FanDuel2.68I 37.31%NM 35.89%EV -1.92%E -0.715%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.11%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 23:40
MyBookie.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.75%EV -2.65%E -0.995%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.25%EV -6.17%E -4.17%K -12.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 23:34
Bet Victor2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -1.73%E -1.11%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-01 23:39
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-01 23:39
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:40
TAB2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:39
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:40
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:29
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:40
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.01%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 23:39
DraftKings2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.38%E -1.28%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-01 23:40
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.75%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 23:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -3.75%E -1.42%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -6.80%E -4.63%K -14.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 23:40
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -4.11%E -1.57%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-01 23:40
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -4.11%E -1.57%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.80%E -4.63%K -14.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 23:39
BetOnline.ag2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -4.48%E -1.72%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-01 23:40
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-01 23:38
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:29
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:39
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:40
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:40
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:40
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:40
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 23:40
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 23:40
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 23:40
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 23:40
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 23:40
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 23:39
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.17%E -4.17%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 23:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.17%E -4.17%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 23:40
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.84%E -1.86%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.80%E -4.63%K -14.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 23:40
BetUS2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -5.21%E -2.01%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-01 23:39
ReBet2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV -5.94%E -2.31%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -2.36%E -1.53%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 23:29
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 23:30
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 23:40
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 23:40
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 23:40
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 23:40
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 23:40
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.63%E -2.39%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 23:40
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 23:40
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 23:40
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 23:40
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 23:40
Betway2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 23:40
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.67%E -2.62%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 23:33
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -7.77%E -3.08%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.16%EV -6.80%E -4.63%K -14.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 23:30
Dabble (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.00%E -1.96%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.26%E -2.82%K -8.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 23:40
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.90%E -3.27%K -9.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 23:40
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.50%E -3.40%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.07%E -5.56%K -17.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 23:40
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.37%EV -11.07%E -4.55%K -7.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.63%EV -8.07%E -5.56%K -17.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-01 23:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly2.81I 35.59%NM 35.55%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.45%0.1%2026-04-01 23:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%0.3%2026-04-01 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%0.3%2026-04-01 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%0.3%2026-04-01 23:40
Polymarket2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-04-01 23:39
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%1.1%2026-04-01 23:40
Novig2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%1.3%2026-04-01 23:36
ProphetX2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%1.4%2026-04-01 23:40
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%1.6%2026-04-01 23:40
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%1.8%2026-04-01 23:40