Language:English
Los Angeles Lakers v Denver Nuggets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Los Angeles Lakers (Local)
Prediction 46.40%2.16fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.774%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%46.50%46.32%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.052.052.1251.28%48.80%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Denver Nuggets (Visit)
Prediction 53.60%1.87fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -2.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.50%53.68%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.781.781.8358.14%56.11%56.18%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Lakers (Local): 46.40%; Denver Nuggets (Visit): 53.60%. For Los Angeles Lakers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.12, with an expected value of -1.64%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.64%E -0.774%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.98%E -1.64%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-15 00:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 00:39 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.02%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%EV -4.05%E -2.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-15 00:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.50%E -1.68%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.05%E -2.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.50%E -1.68%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.05%E -2.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 00:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.50%E -1.68%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.50%E -1.68%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.50%E -1.68%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.50%E -1.68%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-15 00:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.42%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-15 00:38 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.42%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.42%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.42%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.66%E -3.21%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.42%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.66%E -3.21%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.42%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.66%E -3.21%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 00:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 00:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 00:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 00:37 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.66%E -3.21%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.73%E -3.87%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 00:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.73%E -3.87%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-15 00:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -5.35%E -2.62%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -1.90%E -1.04%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.35%E -2.62%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.35%E -2.62%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -5.82%E -2.87%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.99%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-15 00:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.44%E -1.34%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.44%E -1.34%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.80%E -4.54%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.90%E -1.04%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-15 00:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.90%E -1.04%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-15 00:38 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.90%E -1.04%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.90%E -1.04%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-15 00:38 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.44%E -1.34%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-15 00:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-15 00:26 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -8.14%E -4.11%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -8.60%E -4.37%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.53%E -4.89%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.53%E -4.89%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 0.4% | 2026-03-15 00:38 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30% | 2.0% | 2026-03-15 00:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33% | 2.7% | 2026-03-15 00:29 |