مدرسة الاحتمالات

Los Angeles Lakers v Denver Nuggets

البداية: 2026-03-15 00:41 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Los Angeles Lakers (المضيف)

التنبؤ 46.40%2.16السعر العادل
EV -1.64%
الأفضلية -0.774%
Kelly -1.47%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.12

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.17%46.50%46.32%48.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.052.052.1251.28%48.80%48.78%47.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Denver Nuggets (الضيف)

التنبؤ 53.60%1.87السعر العادل
EV -1.90%
الأفضلية -1.04%
Kelly -2.29%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.83

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.00%53.50%53.68%54.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.721.781.781.8358.14%56.11%56.18%54.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.64%E -0.774%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.98%E -1.64%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-15 00:39
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 00:40
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 00:39
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.02%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%EV -4.05%E -2.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 00:29
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 00:40
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 00:40
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 00:40
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 00:40
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 00:40
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 00:40
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 00:40
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.50%E -1.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.05%E -2.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 00:40
ReBet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.50%E -1.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.05%E -2.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 00:29
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.50%E -1.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:40
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.50%E -1.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:40
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.50%E -1.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:40
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.50%E -1.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 00:39
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:40
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:40
Bally Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:40
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:40
Coolbet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.42%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 00:38
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.42%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 00:30
MyBookie.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.42%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 00:30
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.42%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.66%E -3.21%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 00:40
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.42%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.66%E -3.21%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 00:40
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.42%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.66%E -3.21%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 00:40
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:40
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:29
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:39
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:40
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:40
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:39
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:37
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 00:40
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 00:40
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.66%E -3.21%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 00:40
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.73%E -3.87%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 00:39
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.73%E -3.87%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 00:40
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 00:30
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -5.35%E -2.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -1.90%E -1.04%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 00:40
Betsson2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.35%E -2.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 00:40
NordicBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.35%E -2.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 00:40
Unibet (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -5.82%E -2.87%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.99%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 00:35
DraftKings2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.44%E -1.34%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 00:40
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.44%E -1.34%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 00:40
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.80%E -4.54%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 00:40
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.90%E -1.04%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 00:39
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.90%E -1.04%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 00:38
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.90%E -1.04%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 00:40
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.90%E -1.04%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 00:38
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.44%E -1.34%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 00:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 00:39
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 00:40
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 00:40
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 00:26
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -8.14%E -4.11%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 00:40
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -8.60%E -4.37%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 00:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.53%E -4.89%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 00:40
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.53%E -4.89%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 00:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-03-15 00:40
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-03-15 00:38
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-03-15 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-03-15 00:40
ProphetX2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-03-15 00:40
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-03-15 00:40
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-03-15 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-03-15 00:40
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.0%2026-03-15 00:40
BetOpenly2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.7%2026-03-15 00:29