A Escola das Odds

Los Angeles Lakers v Denver Nuggets

Início: 2026-03-15 00:41 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Lakers (Local)

Previsão 46.40%2.16odd justa
EV -1.64%
Vantagem -0.774%
Kelly -1.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.17%46.50%46.32%48.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.052.052.1251.28%48.80%48.78%47.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Denver Nuggets (Visitante)

Previsão 53.60%1.87odd justa
EV -1.90%
Vantagem -1.04%
Kelly -2.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%53.50%53.68%54.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.721.781.781.8358.14%56.11%56.18%54.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.64%E -0.774%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.98%E -1.64%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-15 00:39
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 00:40
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 00:39
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.02%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%EV -4.05%E -2.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 00:29
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 00:40
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 00:40
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 00:40
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 00:40
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 00:40
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 00:40
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 00:40
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.50%E -1.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.05%E -2.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 00:40
ReBet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.50%E -1.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.05%E -2.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 00:29
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.50%E -1.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:40
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.50%E -1.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:40
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.50%E -1.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:40
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.50%E -1.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 00:39
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:40
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:40
Bally Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:40
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:40
Coolbet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.42%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 00:38
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.42%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 00:30
MyBookie.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.42%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 00:30
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.42%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.66%E -3.21%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 00:40
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.42%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.66%E -3.21%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 00:40
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.42%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.66%E -3.21%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 00:40
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:40
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:29
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:39
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:40
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:40
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:39
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:37
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 00:40
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 00:40
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.66%E -3.21%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 00:40
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.73%E -3.87%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 00:39
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.73%E -3.87%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 00:40
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 00:30
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -5.35%E -2.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -1.90%E -1.04%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 00:40
Betsson2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.35%E -2.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 00:40
NordicBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.35%E -2.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 00:40
Unibet (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -5.82%E -2.87%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.99%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 00:35
DraftKings2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.44%E -1.34%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 00:40
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.44%E -1.34%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 00:40
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.80%E -4.54%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 00:40
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.90%E -1.04%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 00:39
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.90%E -1.04%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 00:38
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.90%E -1.04%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 00:40
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.90%E -1.04%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 00:38
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.44%E -1.34%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 00:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 00:39
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 00:40
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 00:40
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 00:26
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -8.14%E -4.11%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 00:40
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -8.60%E -4.37%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 00:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.53%E -4.89%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 00:40
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.53%E -4.89%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 00:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-03-15 00:40
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-03-15 00:38
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-03-15 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-03-15 00:40
ProphetX2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-03-15 00:40
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-03-15 00:40
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-03-15 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-03-15 00:40
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.0%2026-03-15 00:40
BetOpenly2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.7%2026-03-15 00:29