La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Lakers v Denver Nuggets

Inicio: 2026-03-15 00:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Lakers (Local)

Predicción 46.40%2.16momio equitativo
EV -1.64%
Ventaja -0.774%
Kelly -1.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.17%46.50%46.32%48.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.052.052.1251.28%48.80%48.78%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Denver Nuggets (Visitante)

Predicción 53.60%1.87momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -2.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.00%53.50%53.68%54.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.781.781.8358.14%56.11%56.18%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.64%E -0.774%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.98%E -1.64%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-15 00:39
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 00:40
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-15 00:39
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.02%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%EV -4.05%E -2.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 00:29
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 00:40
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 00:40
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 00:40
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 00:40
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 00:40
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 00:40
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.57%E -1.22%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 00:40
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.50%E -1.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.05%E -2.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 00:40
ReBet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.50%E -1.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.05%E -2.26%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 00:29
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.50%E -1.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:40
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.50%E -1.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:40
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -3.50%E -1.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:40
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.50%E -1.68%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 00:39
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:40
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:40
Bally Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:40
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.96%E -1.91%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:40
Coolbet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -4.42%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 00:38
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.42%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 00:30
MyBookie.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.42%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 00:30
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.42%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.66%E -3.21%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 00:40
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.42%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.66%E -3.21%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 00:40
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.42%E -2.15%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.66%E -3.21%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 00:40
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:40
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:29
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:39
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:40
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:40
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:39
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:37
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 00:40
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 00:40
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.66%E -3.21%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 00:40
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.73%E -3.87%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 00:39
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.73%E -3.87%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 00:40
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.89%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 00:30
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -5.35%E -2.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -1.90%E -1.04%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 00:40
Betsson2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.35%E -2.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 00:40
NordicBet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.35%E -2.62%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.58%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 00:40
Unibet (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -5.82%E -2.87%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.99%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 00:35
DraftKings2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.44%E -1.34%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 00:40
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.44%E -1.34%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 00:40
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -6.28%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.80%E -4.54%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 00:40
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.90%E -1.04%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 00:39
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.90%E -1.04%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 00:38
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.90%E -1.04%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 00:40
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.90%E -1.04%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-15 00:38
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.44%E -1.34%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 00:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 00:39
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 00:40
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 00:40
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.21%E -3.60%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-15 00:26
Betclic (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%EV -8.14%E -4.11%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 00:40
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -8.60%E -4.37%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 00:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.53%E -4.89%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 00:40
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.53%E -4.89%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 00:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%0.4%2026-03-15 00:40
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-03-15 00:38
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-03-15 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-03-15 00:40
ProphetX2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-03-15 00:40
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-03-15 00:40
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-03-15 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%1.1%2026-03-15 00:40
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.0%2026-03-15 00:40
BetOpenly2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.7%2026-03-15 00:29