預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Golden State Warriors v Orlando Magic

開賽時間： 2026-11-08 01:43 UTC

最終賽果： Golden State Warriors 126–119 Orlando Magic

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

68 家博彩公司 (22 家納入分析 )

72%

28%

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Golden State Warriors (主隊)

預測 71.85%1.39公平賠率

EV -0.845%

優勢 -0.613%

Kelly -2.22%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.38

博彩公司預測分布

68.49%71.64%71.90%73.59%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

1.251.331.331.3880.00%75.06%75.19%72.46%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Orlando Magic (客隊)

預測 28.15%3.55公平賠率

EV +2.74%

優勢 +0.752%

Kelly +1.04%

成長率 +0.028%

假設最高賠率為 3.65

博彩公司預測分布

26.41%28.36%28.10%31.51%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

2.753.313.303.6536.36%30.24%30.30%27.40%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Golden State Warriors (主隊)：71.85%；Orlando Magic (客隊)：28.15%。對於「Orlando Magic (客隊)」，該估計相當於3.55的公平十進位賠率。當時有5家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為3.65，對應+2.74%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (68 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司	主隊	客隊 ▼	利潤率	更新時間
BetUS🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -5.88%E -4.48%K -18.95%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +2.74%E +0.752%K +1.04%G +0.028%	3.7%	2026-11-08 00:05
Pinnacle🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV +1.34%E +0.371%K +0.514%G +0.007%	3.0%	2026-11-08 01:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.88%E -4.48%K -18.95%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.34%E +0.371%K +0.514%G +0.007%	4.1%	2026-11-08 00:50
Fliff🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.59%E -5.07%K -21.98%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +1.34%E +0.371%K +0.514%G +0.007%	4.7%	2026-11-08 01:35
LowVig.ag🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.80%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%	3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV +0.210%E +0.059%K +0.082%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-11-08 00:05
SportsBet🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.16%E -3.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -0.071%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-08 00:05
Bovada🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.16%E -3.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -0.071%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-08 00:05
BetAnything🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.88%E -4.48%K -18.95%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -0.071%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-08 00:05
1xBet🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.58%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%	3.52I 28.41%NM 27.42%EV -0.916%E -0.260%K -0.363%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-11-08 00:20
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -5.16%E -3.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%	3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -0.916%E -0.260%K -0.363%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-08 00:05
Coolbet🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-08 00:19
theScore Bet🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-08 00:15
Everygame🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-08 01:30
FanDuel🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.16%E -3.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-08 00:05
DraftKings🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.16%E -3.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-08 00:10
GTbets🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.16%E -3.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-08 00:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.88%E -4.48%K -18.95%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-08 00:05
Fanatics🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.88%E -4.48%K -18.95%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-08 01:30
Bet Victor🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.72%E -2.78%K -10.94%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-11-08 01:19
betano_uk🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.72%E -2.78%K -10.94%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-11-08 01:15
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.72%E -2.78%K -10.94%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-11-08 01:30
Betr (AU)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-08 00:20
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.72%E -2.78%K -10.94%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-08 01:30
TAB🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.72%E -2.78%K -10.94%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-11-08 00:10
BetMGM🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-08 00:05
Bet Right🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.16%E -3.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-08 00:15
Paddy Power🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.59%E -5.07%K -21.98%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-08 00:00
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.59%E -5.07%K -21.98%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-08 00:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.59%E -5.07%K -21.98%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-08 00:00
ReBet🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 71.49%EV -3.72%E -2.78%K -10.94%G +0.000%	3.36I 29.76%NM 28.51%EV -5.42%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-08 01:25
picklebet_au🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.00%E -2.22%K -8.57%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-08 01:30
Caesars🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.72%E -2.78%K -10.94%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-11-08 01:35
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.83%EV -5.88%E -4.48%K -18.95%G +0.000%	3.34I 29.94%NM 28.17%EV -5.98%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-08 01:28
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.00%E -2.22%K -8.57%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-08 01:20
Neds🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.00%E -2.22%K -8.57%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-08 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.00%E -2.22%K -8.57%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-08 00:05
Codere (IT)🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.72%E -2.78%K -10.94%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-08 00:10
888sport🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-08 00:05
888sport (SE)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-08 00:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-08 00:05
William Hill🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-08 00:05
PlayUp🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-08 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-08 00:05
Coral🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-08 00:05
betfred_uk🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-08 00:05
BoyleSports🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-08 00:34
Sky Bet🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-08 01:25
NordicBet🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.16%E -3.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-08 01:20
Betsson🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.16%E -3.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-08 01:20
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 71.91%EV -10.19%E -8.15%K -40.74%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-11-08 00:10
LeoVegas🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -6.59%E -5.07%K -21.98%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -11.33%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-11-08 01:35
Marathon Bet🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%	3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -11.61%E -3.70%K -5.43%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-08 01:35
BetRivers🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-08 01:25
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-08 01:25
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-08 01:25
TABtouch🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-08 01:25
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-08 01:25
Unibet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-08 01:25
betPARX🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-08 01:25
Bally Bet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-08 01:25
Svenska Spel🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-08 01:25
ATG (SE)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-08 01:25
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -7.31%E -5.67%K -25.21%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%	10.3%	2026-11-08 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -15.55%E -5.18%K -7.78%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-08 01:25
Virgin Bet🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -1.56%E -1.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -15.55%E -5.18%K -7.78%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-08 01:25
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.59%E -5.07%K -21.98%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -15.55%E -5.18%K -7.78%G +0.000%	10.3%	2026-11-08 01:30
PMU (FR)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -18.37%E -6.33%K -9.67%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-11-08 01:25
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 68.75%EV -10.19%E -8.15%K -40.74%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 31.25%EV -22.59%E -8.21%K -12.91%G +0.000%	16.4%	2026-11-08 01:30

利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司	主隊	客隊	利潤率 ▲	更新時間
Novig◎	1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%	0.6%	2026-11-08 01:25
Matchbook◎	1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%	0.6%	2026-11-08 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%	0.6%	2026-11-08 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%	0.6%	2026-11-08 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%	0.6%	2026-11-08 01:35
Polymarket◎	1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%	1.1%	2026-11-08 00:55
Kalshi◎	1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%	1.1%	2026-11-08 01:20
ProphetX◎	1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%	1.1%	2026-11-08 01:35
Smarkets◎	1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15%	3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%	2.0%	2026-11-08 01:35
BetOpenly◎	1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%	2.1%	2026-11-08 00:45

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