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Golden State Warriors v Orlando Magic

Inizio: 2026-11-08 01:43 UTC

Finale: Golden State Warriors 126–119 Orlando Magic

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

68 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Golden State Warriors (Casa)

Previsione 71.85%1.39quota equa
EV -0.845%
Vantaggio -0.613%
Kelly -2.22%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.49%71.64%71.90%73.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.331.331.3880.00%75.06%75.19%72.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Orlando Magic (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.15%3.55quota equa
EV +2.74%
Vantaggio +0.752%
Kelly +1.04%
Crescita +0.028%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.41%28.36%28.10%31.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.313.303.6536.36%30.24%30.30%27.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Golden State Warriors (Casa): 71.85%; Orlando Magic (Trasferta): 28.15%. Per Orlando Magic (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.55. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.65, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.74%.

Quote dei bookmaker (68 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -5.88%E -4.48%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +2.74%E +0.752%K +1.04%G +0.028%3.7%2026-11-08 00:05
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV +1.34%E +0.371%K +0.514%G +0.007%3.0%2026-11-08 01:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.88%E -4.48%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.34%E +0.371%K +0.514%G +0.007%4.1%2026-11-08 00:50
Fliff🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.59%E -5.07%K -21.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +1.34%E +0.371%K +0.514%G +0.007%4.7%2026-11-08 01:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.80%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV +0.210%E +0.059%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-08 00:05
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.16%E -3.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -0.071%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-08 00:05
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.16%E -3.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -0.071%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-08 00:05
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.88%E -4.48%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -0.071%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-08 00:05
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.58%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.42%EV -0.916%E -0.260%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-08 00:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -5.16%E -3.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -0.916%E -0.260%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-08 00:05
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-08 00:19
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-08 00:15
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-08 01:30
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.16%E -3.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 00:05
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.16%E -3.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 00:10
GTbets🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.16%E -3.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 00:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.88%E -4.48%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 00:05
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.88%E -4.48%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 01:30
Bet Victor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.72%E -2.78%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-08 01:19
betano_uk🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.72%E -2.78%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-08 01:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.72%E -2.78%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-08 01:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-08 00:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.72%E -2.78%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-08 01:30
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.72%E -2.78%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-08 00:10
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 00:05
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.16%E -3.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-08 00:15
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.59%E -5.07%K -21.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-08 00:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.59%E -5.07%K -21.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-08 00:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.59%E -5.07%K -21.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-08 00:00
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.49%EV -3.72%E -2.78%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.51%EV -5.42%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-08 01:25
picklebet_au🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.00%E -2.22%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-08 01:30
Caesars🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.72%E -2.78%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-08 01:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.83%EV -5.88%E -4.48%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.17%EV -5.98%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-08 01:28
Dabble (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.00%E -2.22%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-08 01:20
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.00%E -2.22%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-08 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.00%E -2.22%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-08 00:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.72%E -2.78%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 00:10
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-08 00:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-08 00:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-08 00:05
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-08 00:05
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-08 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-08 00:05
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-08 00:05
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 00:05
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 00:34
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 01:25
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.16%E -3.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-08 01:20
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.16%E -3.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-08 01:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.91%EV -10.19%E -8.15%K -40.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-08 00:10
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -6.59%E -5.07%K -21.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -11.33%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-08 01:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -11.61%E -3.70%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-08 01:35
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 01:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 01:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 01:25
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 01:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 01:25
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 01:25
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 01:25
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 01:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 01:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 01:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -7.31%E -5.67%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-08 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -15.55%E -5.18%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 01:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -1.56%E -1.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -15.55%E -5.18%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-08 01:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.59%E -5.07%K -21.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -15.55%E -5.18%K -7.78%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-08 01:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -18.37%E -6.33%K -9.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-08 01:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 68.75%EV -10.19%E -8.15%K -40.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.25%EV -22.59%E -8.21%K -12.91%G +0.000%16.4%2026-11-08 01:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-11-08 01:25
Matchbook◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-11-08 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-11-08 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-11-08 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-11-08 01:35
Polymarket◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-11-08 00:55
Kalshi◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-11-08 01:20
ProphetX◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-11-08 01:35
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%2.0%2026-11-08 01:35
BetOpenly◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-11-08 00:45

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