L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Golden State Warriors v Orlando Magic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-11-08 01:43 UTC

Score final : Golden State Warriors 126–119 Orlando Magic

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

68 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Golden State Warriors (Local)

Prévision 71.85%1.39cote équitable
EV -0.845%
Avantage -0.613%
Kelly -2.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.49%71.64%71.90%73.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.251.331.331.3880.00%75.06%75.19%72.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Orlando Magic (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.15%3.55cote équitable
EV +2.74%
Avantage +0.752%
Kelly +1.04%
Croissance +0.028%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.41%28.36%28.10%31.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.753.313.303.6536.36%30.24%30.30%27.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Golden State Warriors (Local) : 71.85% ; Orlando Magic (Visiteur) : 28.15%. Pour Orlando Magic (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.55. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.65, soit une espérance positive de +2.74%.

Cotes des opérateurs (68 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -5.88%E -4.48%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +2.74%E +0.752%K +1.04%G +0.028%3.7%2026-11-08 00:05
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV +1.34%E +0.371%K +0.514%G +0.007%3.0%2026-11-08 01:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.88%E -4.48%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +1.34%E +0.371%K +0.514%G +0.007%4.1%2026-11-08 00:50
Fliff🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.59%E -5.07%K -21.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +1.34%E +0.371%K +0.514%G +0.007%4.7%2026-11-08 01:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.80%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.20%EV +0.210%E +0.059%K +0.082%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-08 00:05
SportsBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.16%E -3.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -0.071%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-08 00:05
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -5.16%E -3.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -0.071%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-08 00:05
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.88%E -4.48%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -0.071%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-08 00:05
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.58%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.42%EV -0.916%E -0.260%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-08 00:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -5.16%E -3.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -0.916%E -0.260%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-08 00:05
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-08 00:19
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-08 00:15
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-08 01:30
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.16%E -3.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 00:05
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.16%E -3.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 00:10
GTbets🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.16%E -3.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 00:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.88%E -4.48%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 00:05
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.88%E -4.48%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.48%E -0.423%K -0.592%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 01:30
Bet Victor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.72%E -2.78%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-08 01:19
betano_uk🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.72%E -2.78%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-08 01:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.72%E -2.78%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.6%2026-11-08 01:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.89%E -0.837%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-08 00:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.72%E -2.78%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-08 01:30
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.72%E -2.78%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-08 00:10
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 00:05
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.16%E -3.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-08 00:15
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.59%E -5.07%K -21.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-08 00:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.59%E -5.07%K -21.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-08 00:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.59%E -5.07%K -21.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.29%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-08 00:00
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.49%EV -3.72%E -2.78%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.51%EV -5.42%E -1.61%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-08 01:25
picklebet_au🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.00%E -2.22%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-08 01:30
Caesars🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.72%E -2.78%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.70%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-11-08 01:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.83%EV -5.88%E -4.48%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.17%EV -5.98%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-08 01:28
Dabble (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.00%E -2.22%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-08 01:20
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.00%E -2.22%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-08 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.00%E -2.22%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-08 00:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.72%E -2.78%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 00:10
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-08 00:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-08 00:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-08 00:05
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-08 00:05
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-08 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-08 00:05
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.11%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-08 00:05
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 00:05
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 00:34
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.52%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 01:25
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.16%E -3.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-08 01:20
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.16%E -3.91%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-08 01:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.91%EV -10.19%E -8.15%K -40.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -9.92%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-08 00:10
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -6.59%E -5.07%K -21.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -11.33%E -3.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-08 01:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -11.61%E -3.70%K -5.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-08 01:35
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 01:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 01:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 01:25
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 01:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 01:25
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 01:25
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 01:25
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 01:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 01:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 01:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.28%EV -7.31%E -5.67%K -25.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -14.15%E -4.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-08 01:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -0.845%E -0.613%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -15.55%E -5.18%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 01:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -1.56%E -1.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -15.55%E -5.18%K -7.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-08 01:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.59%E -5.07%K -21.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -15.55%E -5.18%K -7.78%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-08 01:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -18.37%E -6.33%K -9.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-08 01:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 68.75%EV -10.19%E -8.15%K -40.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.25%EV -22.59%E -8.21%K -12.91%G +0.000%16.4%2026-11-08 01:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-11-08 01:25
Matchbook◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-11-08 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-11-08 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-11-08 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-11-08 01:35
Polymarket◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-11-08 00:55
Kalshi◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-11-08 01:20
ProphetX◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-11-08 01:35
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%2.0%2026-11-08 01:35
BetOpenly◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-11-08 00:45

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