Language:English
Golden State Warriors v Denver Nuggets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Golden State Warriors (Local)
Prediction 31.55%3.17fair odd
EV +1.28%
Edge +0.398%
Kelly +0.578%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 3.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.82%31.59%31.51%33.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.843.023.003.2135.21%33.10%33.33%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Denver Nuggets (Visit)
Prediction 68.45%1.46fair odd
EV -0.749%
Edge -0.516%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.51%68.41%68.49%70.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.391.401.4575.19%71.91%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Warriors (Local): 31.55%; Denver Nuggets (Visit): 68.45%. For Golden State Warriors (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.21, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.28%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV +1.28%E +0.398%K +0.578%G +0.007% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -6.22%E -4.54%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-22 20:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV +0.962%E +0.301%K +0.437%G +0.004% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -6.22%E -4.54%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.962%E +0.301%K +0.437%G +0.004% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.615%E -0.195%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.615%E -0.195%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-22 20:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.615%E -0.195%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -0.615%E -0.195%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.22%E -4.54%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 20:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.22%E -4.54%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-22 20:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.54%EV -3.45%E -1.13%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.46%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-22 20:38 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-22 20:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 20:38 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -4.09%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-22 20:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -4.40%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-22 20:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.22%E -4.54%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-22 20:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 20:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 20:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 20:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 20:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 20:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.93%EV -6.29%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.07%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-22 20:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.80%E -1.97%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.80%E -1.97%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-22 20:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-22 20:33 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -7.24%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -0.749%E -0.516%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-22 20:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.78%EV -7.87%E -2.70%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.22%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-22 20:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -1.43%E -0.995%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.80%E -1.97%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-22 20:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-22 20:38 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-22 20:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.08%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.12%E -1.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -10.40%E -3.66%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -2.12%E -1.48%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 20:32 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.28I 30.49%NM 30.51% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.49% | -0.1% | 2026-02-22 20:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 0.7% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 0.7% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 0.7% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 0.9% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 0.9% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Novig◎ | 3.16I 31.65%NM 31.15% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.85% | 1.6% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 1.7% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 1.7% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74% | 3.2% | 2026-02-22 20:40 |