La escuela de los momios

Golden State Warriors v Denver Nuggets

Inicio: 2026-02-22 20:44 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Golden State Warriors (Local)

Predicción 31.55%3.17momio equitativo
EV +1.28%
Ventaja +0.398%
Kelly +0.578%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.82%31.59%31.51%33.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.843.023.003.2135.21%33.10%33.33%31.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Denver Nuggets (Visitante)

Predicción 68.45%1.46momio equitativo
EV -0.749%
Ventaja -0.516%
Kelly -1.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.51%68.41%68.49%70.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.391.401.4575.19%71.91%71.43%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
SportsBet3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV +1.28%E +0.398%K +0.578%G +0.007%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -6.22%E -4.54%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 20:39
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV +0.962%E +0.301%K +0.437%G +0.004%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -6.22%E -4.54%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 20:40
Fliff3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.962%E +0.301%K +0.437%G +0.004%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 20:40
Bet Victor3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.615%E -0.195%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 20:40
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.615%E -0.195%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 20:39
theScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.615%E -0.195%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 20:40
Caesars3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -0.615%E -0.195%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.22%E -4.54%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 20:39
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:40
BetAnything3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:40
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Dabble (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.22%E -4.54%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 20:40
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:40
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:40
LowVig.ag3.06I 32.68%NM 31.54%EV -3.45%E -1.13%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.46%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 20:40
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:38
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:39
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 20:38
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 20:40
Bally Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 20:40
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 20:40
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 20:40
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -4.09%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 20:29
BetOnline.ag3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -4.40%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 20:40
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 20:40
GTbets3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 20:39
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 20:40
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 20:40
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:40
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:40
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:40
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:40
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.22%E -4.54%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 20:39
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 20:39
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 20:29
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 20:40
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 20:29
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 20:29
Hard Rock Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 20:39
Betclic (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 30.93%EV -6.29%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.07%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 20:39
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.80%E -1.97%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 20:40
Parions Sport (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.80%E -1.97%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 20:29
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 20:33
Neds2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 20:40
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 20:40
Pinnacle2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -7.24%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -0.749%E -0.516%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-22 20:39
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 31.78%EV -7.87%E -2.70%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.22%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 20:30
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -1.43%E -0.995%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 20:40
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.80%E -1.97%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 20:40
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 20:30
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 20:38
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 20:40
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 20:40
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 20:30
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.08%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.12%E -1.48%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 20:40
MyBookie.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -10.40%E -3.66%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -2.12%E -1.48%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 20:32
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly3.28I 30.49%NM 30.51%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.49%-0.1%2026-02-22 20:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%0.9%2026-02-22 20:40
Polymarket3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%0.9%2026-02-22 20:40
Novig3.16I 31.65%NM 31.15%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.85%1.6%2026-02-22 20:40
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%1.7%2026-02-22 20:40
ProphetX3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%1.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%3.2%2026-02-22 20:40