La scuola delle quote

Golden State Warriors v Denver Nuggets

Inizio: 2026-02-22 20:44 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (23 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Golden State Warriors (Casa)

Previsione 31.55%3.17quota equa
EV +1.28%
Vantaggio +0.398%
Kelly +0.578%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.21

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.82%31.59%31.51%33.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.843.023.003.2135.21%33.10%33.33%31.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Denver Nuggets (Trasferta)

Previsione 68.45%1.46quota equa
EV -0.749%
Vantaggio -0.516%
Kelly -1.66%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.51%68.41%68.49%70.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.331.391.401.4575.19%71.91%71.43%68.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
SportsBet3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV +1.28%E +0.398%K +0.578%G +0.007%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -6.22%E -4.54%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 20:39
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV +0.962%E +0.301%K +0.437%G +0.004%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -6.22%E -4.54%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 20:40
Fliff3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.962%E +0.301%K +0.437%G +0.004%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 20:40
Bet Victor3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.615%E -0.195%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 20:40
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.615%E -0.195%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 20:39
theScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.615%E -0.195%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 20:40
Caesars3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -0.615%E -0.195%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.22%E -4.54%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 20:39
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:40
BetAnything3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:40
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Dabble (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.22%E -4.54%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 20:40
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:40
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:40
LowVig.ag3.06I 32.68%NM 31.54%EV -3.45%E -1.13%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.46%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 20:40
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:38
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:39
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 20:38
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 20:40
Bally Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 20:40
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 20:40
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 20:40
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -4.09%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 20:29
BetOnline.ag3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -4.40%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 20:40
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 20:40
GTbets3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 20:39
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 20:40
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 20:40
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:40
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:40
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:40
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:40
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.22%E -4.54%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 20:39
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 20:39
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 20:29
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 20:40
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 20:29
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 20:29
Hard Rock Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 20:39
Betclic (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 30.93%EV -6.29%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.07%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 20:39
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.80%E -1.97%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 20:40
Parions Sport (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.80%E -1.97%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 20:29
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 20:33
Neds2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 20:40
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 20:40
Pinnacle2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -7.24%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -0.749%E -0.516%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-22 20:39
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 31.78%EV -7.87%E -2.70%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.22%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 20:30
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -1.43%E -0.995%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 20:40
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.80%E -1.97%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 20:40
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 20:30
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 20:38
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 20:40
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 20:40
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 20:30
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.08%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.12%E -1.48%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 20:40
MyBookie.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -10.40%E -3.66%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -2.12%E -1.48%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 20:32
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly3.28I 30.49%NM 30.51%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.49%-0.1%2026-02-22 20:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%0.9%2026-02-22 20:40
Polymarket3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%0.9%2026-02-22 20:40
Novig3.16I 31.65%NM 31.15%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.85%1.6%2026-02-22 20:40
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%1.7%2026-02-22 20:40
ProphetX3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%1.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%3.2%2026-02-22 20:40