مدرسة الاحتمالات

Golden State Warriors v Denver Nuggets

البداية: 2026-02-22 20:44 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

64 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Golden State Warriors (المضيف)

التنبؤ 31.55%3.17السعر العادل
EV +1.28%
الأفضلية +0.398%
Kelly +0.578%
النمو +0.007%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.21

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.82%31.59%31.51%33.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.843.023.003.2135.21%33.10%33.33%31.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Denver Nuggets (الضيف)

التنبؤ 68.45%1.46السعر العادل
EV -0.749%
الأفضلية -0.516%
Kelly -1.66%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
66.51%68.41%68.49%70.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.331.391.401.4575.19%71.91%71.43%68.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (64 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
SportsBet3.21I 31.15%NM 29.91%EV +1.28%E +0.398%K +0.578%G +0.007%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.09%EV -6.22%E -4.54%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 20:39
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV +0.962%E +0.301%K +0.437%G +0.004%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -6.22%E -4.54%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 20:40
Fliff3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.962%E +0.301%K +0.437%G +0.004%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 20:40
Bet Victor3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.615%E -0.195%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 20:40
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.615%E -0.195%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-22 20:39
theScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.615%E -0.195%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 20:40
Caesars3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -0.615%E -0.195%K -0.286%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.22%E -4.54%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 20:39
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:40
BetAnything3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:40
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Dabble (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.22%E -4.54%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 20:40
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:40
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:40
LowVig.ag3.06I 32.68%NM 31.54%EV -3.45%E -1.13%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.46%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 20:40
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:38
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:39
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 20:38
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 20:40
Bally Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-22 20:40
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 20:40
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 20:40
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -4.09%E -1.34%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 20:29
BetOnline.ag3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -4.40%E -1.45%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 20:40
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 20:40
GTbets3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 20:39
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 20:40
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 20:40
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:40
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:40
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:40
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.54%E -4.01%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-22 20:40
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.22%E -4.54%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-22 20:39
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 20:39
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 20:29
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 20:40
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 20:29
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 20:29
Hard Rock Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 20:39
Betclic (FR)2.97I 33.67%NM 30.93%EV -6.29%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.07%EV -8.96%E -6.74%K -27.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 20:39
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.80%E -1.97%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 20:40
Parions Sport (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.80%E -1.97%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-22 20:29
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 20:33
Neds2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 20:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-22 20:40
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 20:40
Pinnacle2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV -7.24%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -0.749%E -0.516%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-22 20:39
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 31.78%EV -7.87%E -2.70%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.22%EV -6.91%E -5.08%K -19.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-22 20:30
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -1.43%E -0.995%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-22 20:40
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.80%E -1.97%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-22 20:40
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.49%E -2.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 20:30
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 20:38
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 20:40
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 20:40
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.17%E -2.98%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 20:30
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.08%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.12%E -1.48%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-22 20:40
MyBookie.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -10.40%E -3.66%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -2.12%E -1.48%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-22 20:32
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly3.28I 30.49%NM 30.51%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.49%-0.1%2026-02-22 20:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%0.9%2026-02-22 20:40
Polymarket3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%0.9%2026-02-22 20:40
Novig3.16I 31.65%NM 31.15%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.85%1.6%2026-02-22 20:40
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%1.7%2026-02-22 20:40
ProphetX3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%1.7%2026-02-22 20:40
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%3.2%2026-02-22 20:40