Language:English
Golden State Warriors v Cleveland Cavaliers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Golden State Warriors (Local)
Prediction 21.06%4.75fair odd
EV +3.19%
Edge +0.650%
Kelly +0.817%
Growth +0.026%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.67%21.39%20.93%24.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.554.604.9025.97%21.98%21.74%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit)
Prediction 78.94%1.27fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -5.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.96%78.61%79.07%80.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.211.201.2587.72%82.91%83.33%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Warriors (Local): 21.06%; Cleveland Cavaliers (Visit): 78.94%. For Golden State Warriors (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.75. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.19%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.19%E +0.650%K +0.817%G +0.026% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.19%E +0.650%K +0.817%G +0.026% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.19%E +0.650%K +0.817%G +0.026% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.19%E +0.650%K +0.817%G +0.026% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +2.13%E +0.440%K +0.554%G +0.012% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.06%E -5.09%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.08%E +0.225%K +0.284%G +0.003% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.85%E -5.80%K -38.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.97%EV +0.449%E +0.094%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.03%EV -6.06%E -5.09%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 02:03 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 01:58 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.06%E -5.09%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.06%E -5.09%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.06%E -5.09%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.06%E -5.09%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -2.08%E -0.447%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -2.08%E -0.447%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.82%EV -2.29%E -0.493%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.18%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 02:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.85%E -5.80%K -38.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.64%E -6.53%K -44.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV -3.55%E -0.776%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.64%EV -5.45%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.36%EV -2.11%E -1.70%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.85%E -5.80%K -38.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 02:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.42%EV -10.01%E -8.78%K -71.48%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.40%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV -8.82%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -1.32%E -1.06%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.82%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.82%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -9.45%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.11%E -1.70%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -9.45%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.11%E -1.70%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.45%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.45%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -16.82%E -4.26%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -1.32%E -1.06%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -16.82%E -4.26%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -1.32%E -1.06%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -18.92%E -4.92%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 5.16I 19.38%NM 19.37% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.63% | 0.0% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 0.4% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 1.3% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12% | 1.9% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Novig◎ | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.91% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.09% | 2.0% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52% | 2.6% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40% | 2.9% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |