La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Golden State Warriors v Cleveland Cavaliers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Golden State Warriors (Local)
Predicción 21.06%4.75momio equitativo
EV +3.19%
Ventaja +0.650%
Kelly +0.817%
Crecimiento +0.026%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.67%21.39%20.93%24.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.854.554.604.9025.97%21.98%21.74%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cleveland Cavaliers (Visitante)
Predicción 78.94%1.27momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -5.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.96%78.61%79.07%80.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.141.211.201.2587.72%82.91%83.33%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.19%E +0.650%K +0.817%G +0.026% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.19%E +0.650%K +0.817%G +0.026% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.19%E +0.650%K +0.817%G +0.026% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.19%E +0.650%K +0.817%G +0.026% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Fliff | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +2.13%E +0.440%K +0.554%G +0.012% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.06%E -5.09%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| theScore Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.08%E +0.225%K +0.284%G +0.003% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.85%E -5.80%K -38.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.97%EV +0.449%E +0.094%K +0.119%G +0.001% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.03%EV -6.06%E -5.09%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 02:03 |
| SportsBet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| TABtouch | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Unibet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| betPARX | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Bally Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| FanDuel | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Coolbet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| DraftKings | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| ReBet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 01:58 |
| Everygame | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.06%E -5.09%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.06%E -5.09%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| BetRivers | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.06%E -5.09%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.06%E -5.09%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| BetAnything | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -2.08%E -0.447%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| GTbets | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -2.08%E -0.447%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.82%EV -2.29%E -0.493%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.18%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| BetUS | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| BetMGM | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Caesars | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Neds | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 02:01 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.85%E -5.80%K -38.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.64%E -6.53%K -44.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV -3.55%E -0.776%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| TAB | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Fanatics | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| BoyleSports | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| William Hill | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Dabble (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Pinnacle | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.64%EV -5.45%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.36%EV -2.11%E -1.70%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Coral | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.85%E -5.80%K -38.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 02:00 |
| LeoVegas | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.42%EV -10.01%E -8.78%K -71.48%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Bovada | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.40%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Bet Victor | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV -8.82%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -1.32%E -1.06%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Paddy Power | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.82%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.82%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -9.45%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.11%E -1.70%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -9.45%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.11%E -1.70%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Bet Right | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.45%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| PlayUp | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.45%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Betsson | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -16.82%E -4.26%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -1.32%E -1.06%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
| NordicBet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -16.82%E -4.26%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -1.32%E -1.06%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -18.92%E -4.92%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 02:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 5.16I 19.38%NM 19.37% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.63% | 0.0% | 2026-04-03 01:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 0.4% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Kalshi | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Polymarket | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 1.0% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 1.3% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| ProphetX | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12% | 1.9% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Novig | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.91% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.09% | 2.0% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Matchbook | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52% | 2.6% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |
| Smarkets | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40% | 2.9% | 2026-04-03 02:10 |