Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Golden State Warriors v Cleveland Cavaliers

Início: 2026-04-03 02:11 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Golden State Warriors (Local)

Previsão 21.06%4.75odd justa
EV +3.19%
Vantagem +0.650%
Kelly +0.817%
Crescimento +0.026%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.67%21.39%20.93%24.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.854.554.604.9025.97%21.98%21.74%20.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visitante)

Previsão 78.94%1.27odd justa
EV -1.32%
Vantagem -1.06%
Kelly -5.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.96%78.61%79.07%80.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.141.211.201.2587.72%82.91%83.33%80.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Golden State Warriors (Local): 21.06%; Cleveland Cavaliers (Visitante): 78.94%. Para Golden State Warriors (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.75. 13 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.90, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.19%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.19%E +0.650%K +0.817%G +0.026%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 02:09
Unibet (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.19%E +0.650%K +0.817%G +0.026%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 02:10
ATG (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.19%E +0.650%K +0.817%G +0.026%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 02:10
Svenska Spel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.19%E +0.650%K +0.817%G +0.026%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 02:10
Fliff🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +2.13%E +0.440%K +0.554%G +0.012%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.06%E -5.09%K -31.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 02:09
theScore Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.08%E +0.225%K +0.284%G +0.003%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.85%E -5.80%K -38.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 02:10
MyBookie.ag🎯4.77I 20.96%NM 19.97%EV +0.449%E +0.094%K +0.119%G +0.001%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.03%EV -6.06%E -5.09%K -31.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 02:03
SportsBet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 02:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 02:10
TABtouch🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 02:10
Unibet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 02:10
betPARX🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 02:10
Bally Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 02:09
FanDuel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 02:10
Unibet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 01:59
Betr (AU)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 02:09
Coolbet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 02:09
DraftKings🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 02:09
ReBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 01:58
Everygame🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 02:09
LiveScore Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.06%E -5.09%K -31.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 02:10
Virgin Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.06%E -5.09%K -31.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 02:10
BetRivers🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.06%E -5.09%K -31.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.06%E -5.09%K -31.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 02:10
BetAnything🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -2.08%E -0.447%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 02:10
GTbets🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -2.08%E -0.447%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 02:09
LowVig.ag🎯4.64I 21.55%NM 20.82%EV -2.29%E -0.493%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.18%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-03 02:09
BetUS🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 02:09
BetMGM🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 02:09
Caesars🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 02:09
Marathon Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 02:10
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 02:10
Codere (IT)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 02:01
Tipico (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.85%E -5.80%K -38.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 02:10
PMU (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.64%E -6.53%K -44.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 02:10
BetOnline.ag🎯4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV -3.55%E -0.776%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 02:10
TAB🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 02:10
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 02:09
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 02:10
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 01:59
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 02:09
Dabble (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 02:10
Pinnacle🎯4.49I 22.27%NM 21.64%EV -5.45%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.36%EV -2.11%E -1.70%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-03 02:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 02:09
Coral🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 02:09
NetBet (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.85%E -5.80%K -38.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 02:00
LeoVegas🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.42%EV -10.01%E -8.78%K -71.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 02:10
Bovada🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.40%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 02:09
Bet Victor🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV -8.82%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -1.32%E -1.06%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-03 02:10
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.82%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 02:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.82%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 02:09
Unibet (UK)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -9.45%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.11%E -1.70%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 02:10
Winamax (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -9.45%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.11%E -1.70%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 02:10
Bet Right🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.45%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 02:10
PlayUp🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.45%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 02:10
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 02:10
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 02:10
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -16.82%E -4.26%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -1.32%E -1.06%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 02:09
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -16.82%E -4.26%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -1.32%E -1.06%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 02:10
Betclic (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -18.92%E -4.92%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 02:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly5.16I 19.38%NM 19.37%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.63%0.0%2026-04-03 01:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-04-03 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-04-03 02:10
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%1.0%2026-04-03 02:10
Polymarket4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%1.0%2026-04-03 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%1.3%2026-04-03 02:10
ProphetX4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%1.9%2026-04-03 02:10
Novig4.69I 21.32%NM 20.91%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.09%2.0%2026-04-03 02:10
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%2.6%2026-04-03 02:10
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%2.9%2026-04-03 02:10