L’École des cotes

Golden State Warriors v Cleveland Cavaliers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 02:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Golden State Warriors (Local)

Prévision 21.06%4.75cote équitable
EV +3.19%
Avantage +0.650%
Kelly +0.817%
Croissance +0.026%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.67%21.39%20.93%24.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.854.554.604.9025.97%21.98%21.74%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cleveland Cavaliers (Visiteur)

Prévision 78.94%1.27cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -5.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.96%78.61%79.07%80.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.141.211.201.2587.72%82.91%83.33%80.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.19%E +0.650%K +0.817%G +0.026%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 02:09
Unibet (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.19%E +0.650%K +0.817%G +0.026%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 02:10
ATG (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.19%E +0.650%K +0.817%G +0.026%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 02:10
Svenska Spel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +3.19%E +0.650%K +0.817%G +0.026%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 02:10
Fliff4.85I 20.62%NM 19.70%EV +2.13%E +0.440%K +0.554%G +0.012%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.30%EV -6.06%E -5.09%K -31.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 02:09
theScore Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +1.08%E +0.225%K +0.284%G +0.003%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.85%E -5.80%K -38.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 02:10
MyBookie.ag4.77I 20.96%NM 19.97%EV +0.449%E +0.094%K +0.119%G +0.001%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.03%EV -6.06%E -5.09%K -31.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 02:03
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 02:09
PointsBet (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 02:10
TABtouch4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 02:10
Unibet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 02:10
betPARX4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 02:10
Bally Bet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.028%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 02:09
FanDuel4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 02:10
Unibet (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 01:59
Betr (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 02:09
Coolbet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 02:09
DraftKings4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 02:09
ReBet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 01:58
Everygame4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 02:09
LiveScore Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.06%E -5.09%K -31.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 02:10
Virgin Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.06%E -5.09%K -31.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 02:10
BetRivers4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.06%E -5.09%K -31.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.03%E -0.218%K -0.277%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.06%E -5.09%K -31.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 02:10
BetAnything4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -2.08%E -0.447%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.35%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 02:10
GTbets4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -2.08%E -0.447%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 02:09
LowVig.ag4.64I 21.55%NM 20.82%EV -2.29%E -0.493%K -0.629%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.18%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-03 02:09
BetUS4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-03 02:09
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 02:09
Caesars4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 02:09
Marathon Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.48%E -3.70%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 02:10
Neds4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 02:10
Codere (IT)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 02:01
Tipico (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.85%E -5.80%K -38.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 02:10
PMU (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -3.13%E -0.681%K -0.870%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.64%E -6.53%K -44.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 02:10
BetOnline.ag4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV -3.55%E -0.776%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 02:10
TAB4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 02:10
Fanatics4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 02:09
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 02:10
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 01:59
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 02:09
Dabble (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.24%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-03 02:10
Pinnacle4.49I 22.27%NM 21.64%EV -5.45%E -1.21%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.36%EV -2.11%E -1.70%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-03 02:09
Ladbrokes (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 02:09
Coral4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 02:09
NetBet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.85%E -5.80%K -38.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 02:00
LeoVegas4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -7.34%E -1.67%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.42%EV -10.01%E -8.78%K -71.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-03 02:10
Bovada4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -8.40%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 02:09
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 22.40%EV -8.82%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.60%EV -1.32%E -1.06%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-03 02:10
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.82%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 02:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.82%E -2.04%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 02:09
Unibet (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -9.45%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.11%E -1.70%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 02:10
Winamax (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -9.45%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.11%E -1.70%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 02:10
Bet Right4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.45%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 02:10
PlayUp4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.45%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 02:10
Winamax (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 02:10
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.77%E -3.94%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.69%E -3.03%K -16.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 02:10
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -16.82%E -4.26%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -1.32%E -1.06%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 02:09
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -16.82%E -4.26%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -1.32%E -1.06%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 02:10
Betclic (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -18.92%E -4.92%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -5.27%E -4.39%K -26.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 02:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly5.16I 19.38%NM 19.37%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.63%0.0%2026-04-03 01:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-04-03 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%0.6%2026-04-03 02:10
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%1.0%2026-04-03 02:10
Polymarket4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%1.0%2026-04-03 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%1.3%2026-04-03 02:10
ProphetX4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.12%1.9%2026-04-03 02:10
Novig4.69I 21.32%NM 20.91%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.09%2.0%2026-04-03 02:10
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48%1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%2.6%2026-04-03 02:10
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%2.9%2026-04-03 02:10