Language:English
Denver Nuggets v Utah Jazz
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Denver Nuggets (Local)
Prediction 92.43%1.08fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -2.81%
Kelly -58.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.56%92.45%92.47%94.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.031.041.05100.00%96.63%96.15%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Utah Jazz (Visit)
Prediction 7.57%13.21fair odd
EV +43.84%
Edge +2.31%
Kelly +2.44%
Growth +1.07%
assuming max odds 19.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.09%7.55%7.53%10.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.7512.4912.0019.0011.43%8.01%8.33%5.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Denver Nuggets (Local): 92.43%; Utah Jazz (Visit): 7.57%. For Utah Jazz (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.21. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 19.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +43.84%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -5.72%E -5.61%K -286.10%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +43.84%E +2.31%K +2.44%G +1.07% | 3.3% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -6.65%E -6.58%K -664.62%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +28.70%E +1.69%K +1.79%G +0.515% | 4.9% | 2026-03-28 01:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.24%EV -5.72%E -5.61%K -286.10%G +0.000% | 16.70I 5.99%NM 5.76%EV +26.43%E +1.58%K +1.68%G +0.445% | 4.0% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.05%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000% | 16.43I 6.09%NM 5.95%EV +24.38%E +1.48%K +1.58%G +0.385% | 2.2% | 2026-03-28 01:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +13.56%E +0.904%K +0.968%G +0.131% | 3.8% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +13.56%E +0.904%K +0.968%G +0.131% | 3.8% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +13.56%E +0.904%K +0.968%G +0.131% | 3.8% | 2026-03-28 01:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +9.77%E +0.674%K +0.724%G +0.071% | 3.1% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +5.99%E +0.428%K +0.461%G +0.028% | 3.3% | 2026-03-28 01:08 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.65%E -6.58%K -664.62%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +5.99%E +0.428%K +0.461%G +0.028% | 6.2% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.61%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000% | 13.03I 7.67%NM 7.39%EV -1.36%E -0.104%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-28 00:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-28 00:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-28 01:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-28 00:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 92.86%EV -7.57%E -7.57%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.46%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000% | 12.75I 7.84%NM 7.54%EV -3.48%E -0.273%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-28 01:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.46%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000% | 12.75I 7.84%NM 7.54%EV -3.48%E -0.273%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-28 00:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000% | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -4.91%E -0.391%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -5.37%E -0.429%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 00:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -5.37%E -0.429%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -5.37%E -0.429%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.05%EV -2.95%E -2.81%K -58.98%G +0.000% | 12.15I 8.23%NM 7.95%EV -8.02%E -0.660%K -0.719%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -2.95%E -2.81%K -58.98%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-28 00:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.72%E -5.61%K -286.10%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.93%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000% | 11.84I 8.45%NM 8.07%EV -10.36%E -0.875%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-28 01:03 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -2.95%E -2.81%K -58.98%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -2.95%E -2.81%K -58.98%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -2.95%E -2.81%K -58.98%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -2.95%E -2.81%K -58.98%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -2.95%E -2.81%K -58.98%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-28 01:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.72%E -5.61%K -286.10%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -24.29%E -2.43%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.56%EV -5.72%E -5.61%K -286.10%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.44%EV -33.76%E -3.86%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-28 01:06 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99% | 0.2% | 2026-03-28 00:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51% | 0.7% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51% | 0.7% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94% | 1.2% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93% | 1.2% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.71% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.29% | 1.4% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.20% | 20.41I 4.90%NM 4.80% | 2.0% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.73% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.27% | 2.5% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37% | 21.01I 4.76%NM 4.63% | 2.8% | 2026-03-28 01:10 |