La escuela de los momios

Denver Nuggets v Utah Jazz

Inicio: 2026-03-28 01:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Denver Nuggets (Local)

Predicción 92.43%1.08momio equitativo
EV -2.95%
Ventaja -2.81%
Kelly -58.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
89.56%92.45%92.47%94.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.001.031.041.05100.00%96.63%96.15%95.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Utah Jazz (Visitante)

Predicción 7.57%13.21momio equitativo
EV +43.84%
Ventaja +2.31%
Kelly +2.44%
Crecimiento +1.07%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 19.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
5.09%7.55%7.53%10.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.7512.4912.0019.0011.43%8.01%8.33%5.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
theScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -5.72%E -5.61%K -286.10%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +43.84%E +2.31%K +2.44%G +1.07%3.3%2026-03-28 01:10
Dabble (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -6.65%E -6.58%K -664.62%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +28.70%E +1.69%K +1.79%G +0.515%4.9%2026-03-28 01:09
Fliff1.02I 98.04%NM 94.24%EV -5.72%E -5.61%K -286.10%G +0.000%16.70I 5.99%NM 5.76%EV +26.43%E +1.58%K +1.68%G +0.445%4.0%2026-03-28 01:10
Pinnacle1.04I 96.15%NM 94.05%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%16.43I 6.09%NM 5.95%EV +24.38%E +1.48%K +1.58%G +0.385%2.2%2026-03-28 01:09
FanDuel1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +13.56%E +0.904%K +0.968%G +0.131%3.8%2026-03-28 01:10
SportsBet1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +13.56%E +0.904%K +0.968%G +0.131%3.8%2026-03-28 01:10
Fanatics1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +13.56%E +0.904%K +0.968%G +0.131%3.8%2026-03-28 01:09
Winamax (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +9.77%E +0.674%K +0.724%G +0.071%3.1%2026-03-28 01:10
Bet Victor1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +5.99%E +0.428%K +0.461%G +0.028%3.3%2026-03-28 01:08
Tipico (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.65%E -6.58%K -664.62%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +5.99%E +0.428%K +0.461%G +0.028%6.2%2026-03-28 01:10
LowVig.ag1.04I 96.15%NM 92.61%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%13.03I 7.67%NM 7.39%EV -1.36%E -0.104%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 01:10
Unibet (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 01:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 00:59
PointsBet (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 00:59
Coolbet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 01:09
Caesars1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 01:10
Unibet (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 00:59
William Hill1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 01:10
BetAnything1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 01:10
NetBet (FR)1.00I 100.00%NM 92.86%EV -7.57%E -7.57%K +0.000%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-28 01:00
BetUS1.04I 96.15%NM 92.46%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.54%EV -3.48%E -0.273%K -0.296%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 01:09
ReBet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.46%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.54%EV -3.48%E -0.273%K -0.296%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 00:59
BetOnline.ag1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -4.91%E -0.391%K -0.425%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 01:10
Marathon Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -5.37%E -0.429%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 00:59
Neds1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -5.37%E -0.429%K -0.467%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 01:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -5.37%E -0.429%K -0.467%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 01:10
GTbets1.05I 95.24%NM 92.05%EV -2.95%E -2.81%K -58.98%G +0.000%12.15I 8.23%NM 7.95%EV -8.02%E -0.660%K -0.719%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-28 01:10
DraftKings1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -2.95%E -2.81%K -58.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-28 01:10
Codere (IT)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 01:00
PlayUp1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 01:10
Betr (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:59
Winamax (FR)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:10
NordicBet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:10
Betsson1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:10
Bovada1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:10
Coral1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:10
Hard Rock Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:10
Paddy Power1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.72%E -5.61%K -286.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-28 01:10
MyBookie.ag1.04I 96.15%NM 91.93%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.84I 8.45%NM 8.07%EV -10.36%E -0.875%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 01:03
Unibet (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -2.95%E -2.81%K -58.98%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 01:10
Unibet (NL)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -2.95%E -2.81%K -58.98%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 01:10
ATG (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -2.95%E -2.81%K -58.98%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 01:10
Svenska Spel1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -2.95%E -2.81%K -58.98%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 01:10
TABtouch1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 01:10
Unibet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 01:10
betPARX1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 01:10
Bally Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 01:10
TAB1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -2.95%E -2.81%K -58.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:10
Bet Right1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:10
Virgin Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:10
BetRivers1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:10
LiveScore Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:10
Everygame1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:09
BoyleSports1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 01:10
BetMGM1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 01:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 01:10
Betway1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.72%E -5.61%K -286.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-28 01:10
Sky Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -24.29%E -2.43%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 01:10
Betclic (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 89.56%EV -5.72%E -5.61%K -286.10%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.44%EV -33.76%E -3.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-28 01:06
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99%0.2%2026-03-28 00:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-03-28 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-03-28 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-03-28 01:10
Kalshi1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.2%2026-03-28 01:10
Polymarket1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.2%2026-03-28 01:10
Matchbook1.03I 97.09%NM 95.71%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.29%1.4%2026-03-28 01:10
Novig1.03I 97.09%NM 95.20%20.41I 4.90%NM 4.80%2.0%2026-03-28 01:10
ProphetX1.03I 97.09%NM 94.73%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.27%2.5%2026-03-28 01:10
Smarkets1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%21.01I 4.76%NM 4.63%2.8%2026-03-28 01:10