Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Denver Nuggets v Utah Jazz

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-28 01:11 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Denver Nuggets (Local)

Prévision 92.43%1.08cote équitable
EV -2.95%
Avantage -2.81%
Kelly -58.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
89.56%92.45%92.47%94.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.001.031.041.05100.00%96.63%96.15%95.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Utah Jazz (Visiteur)

Prévision 7.57%13.21cote équitable
EV +43.84%
Avantage +2.31%
Kelly +2.44%
Croissance +1.07%

avec la cote maximale 19.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.09%7.55%7.53%10.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
8.7512.4912.0019.0011.43%8.01%8.33%5.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Denver Nuggets (Local) : 92.43% ; Utah Jazz (Visiteur) : 7.57%. Pour Utah Jazz (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 13.21. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 19.00, soit une espérance positive de +43.84%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -5.72%E -5.61%K -286.10%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +43.84%E +2.31%K +2.44%G +1.07%3.3%2026-03-28 01:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -6.65%E -6.58%K -664.62%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +28.70%E +1.69%K +1.79%G +0.515%4.9%2026-03-28 01:09
Fliff🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.24%EV -5.72%E -5.61%K -286.10%G +0.000%16.70I 5.99%NM 5.76%EV +26.43%E +1.58%K +1.68%G +0.445%4.0%2026-03-28 01:10
Pinnacle🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 94.05%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%16.43I 6.09%NM 5.95%EV +24.38%E +1.48%K +1.58%G +0.385%2.2%2026-03-28 01:09
FanDuel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +13.56%E +0.904%K +0.968%G +0.131%3.8%2026-03-28 01:10
SportsBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +13.56%E +0.904%K +0.968%G +0.131%3.8%2026-03-28 01:10
Fanatics🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +13.56%E +0.904%K +0.968%G +0.131%3.8%2026-03-28 01:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +9.77%E +0.674%K +0.724%G +0.071%3.1%2026-03-28 01:10
Bet Victor🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +5.99%E +0.428%K +0.461%G +0.028%3.3%2026-03-28 01:08
Tipico (DE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.65%E -6.58%K -664.62%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +5.99%E +0.428%K +0.461%G +0.028%6.2%2026-03-28 01:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.61%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%13.03I 7.67%NM 7.39%EV -1.36%E -0.104%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 01:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 01:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 00:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 00:59
Coolbet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 01:09
Caesars🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 01:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 00:59
William Hill🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 01:10
BetAnything🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 01:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.86%EV -7.57%E -7.57%K +0.000%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-28 01:00
BetUS🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.46%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.54%EV -3.48%E -0.273%K -0.296%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 01:09
ReBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.46%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.54%EV -3.48%E -0.273%K -0.296%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 00:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -4.91%E -0.391%K -0.425%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 01:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -5.37%E -0.429%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 00:59
Neds🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -5.37%E -0.429%K -0.467%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 01:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -5.37%E -0.429%K -0.467%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 01:10
GTbets🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.05%EV -2.95%E -2.81%K -58.98%G +0.000%12.15I 8.23%NM 7.95%EV -8.02%E -0.660%K -0.719%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-28 01:10
DraftKings🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -2.95%E -2.81%K -58.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-28 01:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 01:00
PlayUp🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 01:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:10
NordicBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:10
Betsson🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:10
Bovada🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:10
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:10
Paddy Power🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.72%E -5.61%K -286.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-28 01:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.93%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.84I 8.45%NM 8.07%EV -10.36%E -0.875%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 01:03
Unibet (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -2.95%E -2.81%K -58.98%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 01:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -2.95%E -2.81%K -58.98%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 01:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -2.95%E -2.81%K -58.98%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 01:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -2.95%E -2.81%K -58.98%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 01:10
TABtouch🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 01:10
Unibet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 01:10
betPARX🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 01:10
Bally Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 01:10
TAB🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -2.95%E -2.81%K -58.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:10
Bet Right🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:10
BetRivers🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:10
Everygame🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:09
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 01:10
BetMGM🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 01:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 01:10
Betway🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.72%E -5.61%K -286.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-28 01:10
Sky Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -24.29%E -2.43%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 01:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 89.56%EV -5.72%E -5.61%K -286.10%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.44%EV -33.76%E -3.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-28 01:06
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99%0.2%2026-03-28 00:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-03-28 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-03-28 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-03-28 01:10
Kalshi1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.2%2026-03-28 01:10
Polymarket1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.2%2026-03-28 01:10
Matchbook1.03I 97.09%NM 95.71%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.29%1.4%2026-03-28 01:10
Novig1.03I 97.09%NM 95.20%20.41I 4.90%NM 4.80%2.0%2026-03-28 01:10
ProphetX1.03I 97.09%NM 94.73%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.27%2.5%2026-03-28 01:10
Smarkets1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%21.01I 4.76%NM 4.63%2.8%2026-03-28 01:10