Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Denver Nuggets v Utah Jazz

Início: 2026-03-28 01:11 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Denver Nuggets (Local)

Previsão 92.43%1.08odd justa
EV -2.95%
Vantagem -2.81%
Kelly -58.98%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
89.56%92.45%92.47%94.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.001.031.041.05100.00%96.63%96.15%95.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Utah Jazz (Visitante)

Previsão 7.57%13.21odd justa
EV +43.84%
Vantagem +2.31%
Kelly +2.44%
Crescimento +1.07%

pressupondo odds máximas de 19.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
5.09%7.55%7.53%10.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
8.7512.4912.0019.0011.43%8.01%8.33%5.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Denver Nuggets (Local): 92.43%; Utah Jazz (Visitante): 7.57%. Para Utah Jazz (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 13.21. 10 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 19.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +43.84%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -5.72%E -5.61%K -286.10%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +43.84%E +2.31%K +2.44%G +1.07%3.3%2026-03-28 01:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -6.65%E -6.58%K -664.62%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +28.70%E +1.69%K +1.79%G +0.515%4.9%2026-03-28 01:09
Fliff🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.24%EV -5.72%E -5.61%K -286.10%G +0.000%16.70I 5.99%NM 5.76%EV +26.43%E +1.58%K +1.68%G +0.445%4.0%2026-03-28 01:10
Pinnacle🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 94.05%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%16.43I 6.09%NM 5.95%EV +24.38%E +1.48%K +1.58%G +0.385%2.2%2026-03-28 01:09
FanDuel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +13.56%E +0.904%K +0.968%G +0.131%3.8%2026-03-28 01:10
SportsBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +13.56%E +0.904%K +0.968%G +0.131%3.8%2026-03-28 01:10
Fanatics🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +13.56%E +0.904%K +0.968%G +0.131%3.8%2026-03-28 01:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +9.77%E +0.674%K +0.724%G +0.071%3.1%2026-03-28 01:10
Bet Victor🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +5.99%E +0.428%K +0.461%G +0.028%3.3%2026-03-28 01:08
Tipico (DE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.65%E -6.58%K -664.62%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +5.99%E +0.428%K +0.461%G +0.028%6.2%2026-03-28 01:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.61%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%13.03I 7.67%NM 7.39%EV -1.36%E -0.104%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 01:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 01:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 00:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 00:59
Coolbet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 01:09
Caesars🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 01:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-28 00:59
William Hill🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 01:10
BetAnything🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 01:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 92.86%EV -7.57%E -7.57%K +0.000%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -1.58%E -0.122%K -0.132%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-28 01:00
BetUS🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.46%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.54%EV -3.48%E -0.273%K -0.296%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 01:09
ReBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.46%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.54%EV -3.48%E -0.273%K -0.296%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 00:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -4.91%E -0.391%K -0.425%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-28 01:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -5.37%E -0.429%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 00:59
Neds🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -5.37%E -0.429%K -0.467%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 01:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -5.37%E -0.429%K -0.467%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 01:10
GTbets🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.05%EV -2.95%E -2.81%K -58.98%G +0.000%12.15I 8.23%NM 7.95%EV -8.02%E -0.660%K -0.719%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-28 01:10
DraftKings🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -2.95%E -2.81%K -58.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-28 01:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 01:00
PlayUp🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 01:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-28 00:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:10
NordicBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:10
Betsson🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:10
Bovada🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:10
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-28 01:10
Paddy Power🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.72%E -5.61%K -286.10%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.15%E -0.763%K -0.832%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-28 01:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.93%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.84I 8.45%NM 8.07%EV -10.36%E -0.875%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 01:03
Unibet (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -2.95%E -2.81%K -58.98%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 01:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -2.95%E -2.81%K -58.98%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 01:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -2.95%E -2.81%K -58.98%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 01:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -2.95%E -2.81%K -58.98%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 01:10
TABtouch🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 01:10
Unibet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 01:10
betPARX🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 01:10
Bally Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.94%E -1.13%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-28 01:10
TAB🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -2.95%E -2.81%K -58.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 01:10
Bet Right🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:10
BetRivers🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:10
Everygame🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-28 01:09
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 01:10
BetMGM🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 01:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.80%E -4.66%K -159.92%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 01:10
Betway🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.72%E -5.61%K -286.10%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.72%E -1.52%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-28 01:10
Sky Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.87%E -3.72%K -96.83%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -24.29%E -2.43%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-28 01:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 89.56%EV -5.72%E -5.61%K -286.10%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.44%EV -33.76%E -3.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-28 01:06
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.05I 95.24%NM 95.01%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.99%0.2%2026-03-28 00:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-03-28 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-03-28 01:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-03-28 01:10
Kalshi1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.2%2026-03-28 01:10
Polymarket1.05I 95.24%NM 94.07%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.93%1.2%2026-03-28 01:10
Matchbook1.03I 97.09%NM 95.71%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.29%1.4%2026-03-28 01:10
Novig1.03I 97.09%NM 95.20%20.41I 4.90%NM 4.80%2.0%2026-03-28 01:10
ProphetX1.03I 97.09%NM 94.73%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.27%2.5%2026-03-28 01:10
Smarkets1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%21.01I 4.76%NM 4.63%2.8%2026-03-28 01:10