Language:English
Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Denver Nuggets (Local)
Prediction 71.67%1.40fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -7.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.82%71.59%71.76%72.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.331.331.3679.37%75.27%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit)
Prediction 28.33%3.53fair odd
EV +1.12%
Edge +0.315%
Kelly +0.437%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 3.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.29%28.41%28.24%30.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.033.363.403.5733.00%29.72%29.41%28.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Denver Nuggets (Local): 71.67%; Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit): 28.33%. For Minnesota Timberwolves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.57, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%EV +1.12%E +0.315%K +0.437%G +0.005% | 2.6% | 2026-04-21 02:41 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -0.859%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.859%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.859%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.859%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.859%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -6.11%E -4.66%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -1.71%E -0.493%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 02:33 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.28%E -0.660%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.28%E -0.660%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.64%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.36%EV -3.41%E -1.000%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -3.41%E -1.000%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-21 02:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-21 02:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.82%E -5.25%K -22.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.82%E -5.25%K -22.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -4.26%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.54%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -2.52%E -1.86%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -5.11%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -5.11%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-21 02:42 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.11%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.11%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-21 02:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.11%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.11%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 02:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.54%E -5.85%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.54%E -5.85%K -26.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 02:31 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 02:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -9.69%E -7.69%K -37.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.82%EV -6.11%E -4.66%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.18%EV -14.17%E -4.68%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 02:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.32% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.68% | 0.9% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13% | 1.6% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98% | 2.1% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 2.6% | 2026-04-21 02:45 |