مدرسة الاحتمالات

Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves

البداية: 2026-04-21 02:47 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Denver Nuggets 114–119 Minnesota Timberwolves

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Denver Nuggets (المضيف)

التنبؤ 71.67%1.40السعر العادل
EV -2.52%
الأفضلية -1.86%
Kelly -7.01%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.36

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
69.82%71.59%71.76%72.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.261.331.331.3679.37%75.27%75.19%73.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Minnesota Timberwolves (الضيف)

التنبؤ 28.33%3.53السعر العادل
EV +1.12%
الأفضلية +0.315%
Kelly +0.437%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.29%28.41%28.24%30.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.033.363.403.5733.00%29.72%29.41%28.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%EV +1.12%E +0.315%K +0.437%G +0.005%2.6%2026-04-21 02:41
theScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -0.859%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 02:45
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.859%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 02:45
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.859%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 02:45
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.859%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 02:45
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.859%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 02:45
MyBookie.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -6.11%E -4.66%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -1.71%E -0.493%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:33
Betr (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.28%E -0.660%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 02:45
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.28%E -0.660%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 02:45
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.64%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.36%EV -3.41%E -1.000%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 02:45
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -3.41%E -1.000%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 02:44
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 02:45
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 02:45
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 02:45
BetUS1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 02:45
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 02:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 02:45
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 02:45
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 02:45
GTbets1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 02:45
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 02:44
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:45
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:45
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:45
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:45
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:45
Dabble (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:45
Bally Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:45
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:45
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.82%E -5.25%K -22.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 02:45
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.82%E -5.25%K -22.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 02:45
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -4.26%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 02:45
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.54%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 02:45
Winamax (DE)1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -2.52%E -1.86%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -5.11%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 02:45
BetAnything1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -5.11%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 02:42
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.11%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 02:45
Caesars1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.11%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 02:44
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.11%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 02:45
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.11%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 02:45
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 02:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 02:45
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 02:45
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 02:45
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 02:35
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.54%E -5.85%K -26.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 02:45
NetBet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.54%E -5.85%K -26.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 02:31
ReBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 02:40
Fliff1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 02:45
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 02:45
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 02:45
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 02:45
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 02:45
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 02:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 02:45
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 02:45
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -9.69%E -7.69%K -37.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 02:45
Betclic (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.82%EV -6.11%E -4.66%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.18%EV -14.17%E -4.68%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 02:44
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (9)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 72.32%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.68%0.9%2026-04-21 02:45
Polymarket1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-04-21 02:45
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-04-21 02:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-04-21 02:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-04-21 02:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-04-21 02:45
ProphetX1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-04-21 02:45
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-04-21 02:45
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-04-21 02:45