Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves

Início: 2026-04-21 02:47 UTC

Final: Denver Nuggets 114–119 Minnesota Timberwolves

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Denver Nuggets (Local)

Previsão 71.67%1.40odd justa
EV -2.52%
Vantagem -1.86%
Kelly -7.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.82%71.59%71.76%72.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.261.331.331.3679.37%75.27%75.19%73.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Timberwolves (Visitante)

Previsão 28.33%3.53odd justa
EV +1.12%
Vantagem +0.315%
Kelly +0.437%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.29%28.41%28.24%30.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.033.363.403.5733.00%29.72%29.41%28.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Denver Nuggets (Local): 71.67%; Minnesota Timberwolves (Visitante): 28.33%. Para Minnesota Timberwolves (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.53. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.57, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.12%.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%EV +1.12%E +0.315%K +0.437%G +0.005%2.6%2026-04-21 02:41
theScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -0.859%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 02:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.859%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 02:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.859%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 02:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.859%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 02:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.859%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 02:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -6.11%E -4.66%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -1.71%E -0.493%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:33
Betr (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.28%E -0.660%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 02:45
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.28%E -0.660%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 02:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.64%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.36%EV -3.41%E -1.000%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 02:45
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -3.41%E -1.000%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 02:44
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 02:45
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 02:45
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 02:45
BetUS🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 02:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 02:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 02:45
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 02:45
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 02:45
GTbets🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 02:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 02:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:45
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:45
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:45
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:45
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:45
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:45
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.82%E -5.25%K -22.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 02:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.82%E -5.25%K -22.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 02:45
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -4.26%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 02:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.54%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 02:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -2.52%E -1.86%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -5.11%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 02:45
BetAnything🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -5.11%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 02:42
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.11%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 02:45
Caesars🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.11%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 02:44
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.11%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 02:45
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.11%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 02:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 02:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 02:45
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 02:45
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 02:45
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 02:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.54%E -5.85%K -26.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 02:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.54%E -5.85%K -26.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 02:31
ReBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 02:40
Fliff🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 02:45
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 02:45
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 02:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 02:45
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 02:45
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 02:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 02:45
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 02:45
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -9.69%E -7.69%K -37.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 02:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.82%EV -6.11%E -4.66%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.18%EV -14.17%E -4.68%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 02:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 72.32%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.68%0.9%2026-04-21 02:45
Polymarket1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-04-21 02:45
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-04-21 02:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-04-21 02:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-04-21 02:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-04-21 02:45
ProphetX1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-04-21 02:45
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-04-21 02:45
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-04-21 02:45