La escuela de los momios

Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves

Inicio: 2026-04-21 02:47 UTC

Final: Denver Nuggets 114–119 Minnesota Timberwolves

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Denver Nuggets (Local)

Predicción 71.67%1.40momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -1.86%
Kelly -7.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.82%71.59%71.76%72.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.261.331.331.3679.37%75.27%75.19%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Minnesota Timberwolves (Visitante)

Predicción 28.33%3.53momio equitativo
EV +1.12%
Ventaja +0.315%
Kelly +0.437%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.29%28.41%28.24%30.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.033.363.403.5733.00%29.72%29.41%28.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 72.71%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.29%EV +1.12%E +0.315%K +0.437%G +0.005%2.6%2026-04-21 02:41
theScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -0.859%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-21 02:45
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.859%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 02:45
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.859%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 02:45
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.859%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 02:45
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -0.859%E -0.246%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 02:45
MyBookie.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -6.11%E -4.66%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -1.71%E -0.493%K -0.692%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:33
Betr (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -2.28%E -0.660%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 02:45
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -2.28%E -0.660%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 02:45
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.64%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.36%EV -3.41%E -1.000%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 02:45
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -3.41%E -1.000%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 02:44
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 02:45
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 02:45
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 02:45
BetUS1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 02:45
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 02:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 02:45
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 02:45
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 02:45
GTbets1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 02:45
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-21 02:44
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:45
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:45
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:45
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:45
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:45
Dabble (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:45
Bally Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:45
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.39%E -4.08%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 02:45
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.82%E -5.25%K -22.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 02:45
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.82%E -5.25%K -22.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 02:45
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -4.26%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-21 02:45
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -4.54%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 02:45
Winamax (DE)1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -2.52%E -1.86%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -5.11%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 02:45
BetAnything1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -5.11%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-21 02:42
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.11%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 02:45
Caesars1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -5.11%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 02:44
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.11%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 02:45
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.11%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 02:45
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-21 02:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 02:45
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 02:45
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 02:45
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 02:35
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.54%E -5.85%K -26.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 02:45
NetBet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.54%E -5.85%K -26.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 02:31
ReBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 02:40
Fliff1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.24%E -2.40%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-21 02:45
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 02:45
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 02:45
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.96%E -2.95%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 02:45
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 02:45
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 02:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 02:45
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.67%E -3.51%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 02:45
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -9.69%E -7.69%K -37.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 02:45
Betclic (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.82%EV -6.11%E -4.66%K -19.70%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.18%EV -14.17%E -4.68%K -6.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 02:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 72.32%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.68%0.9%2026-04-21 02:45
Polymarket1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-04-21 02:45
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-04-21 02:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-04-21 02:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-04-21 02:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-04-21 02:45
ProphetX1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-04-21 02:45
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-04-21 02:45
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%2.6%2026-04-21 02:45