Language:English
Žalgiris v Paris Basketball
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Žalgiris (Local)
Prediction 75.11%1.33fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -2.41%
Kelly -10.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.51%75.17%75.10%76.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.251.251.2982.64%79.83%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Paris Basketball (Visit)
Prediction 24.89%4.02fair odd
EV +0.806%
Edge +0.199%
Kelly +0.264%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.30%24.83%24.90%27.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.833.834.0529.85%26.12%26.11%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Žalgiris (Local): 75.11%; Paris Basketball (Visit): 24.89%. For Paris Basketball (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.806%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -7.62%E -6.19%K -33.11%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV +0.806%E +0.199%K +0.264%G +0.002% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 09:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 09:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 09:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 09:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 16:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.86%E -5.54%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -1.68%E -0.426%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.751%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.93%E -0.751%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 16:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.98%EV -7.62%E -6.19%K -33.11%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.02%EV -3.18%E -0.816%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 07:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 16:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 16:33 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 16:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.86%E -5.54%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 16:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.80%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.20%EV -4.67%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90%EV -4.67%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 16:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 15:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 15:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 15:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 16:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.62%E -6.19%K -33.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 16:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 07:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 07:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 07:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 07:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.66%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.66%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.66%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 16:53 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.86%E -5.54%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.15%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.64%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 16:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.88%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 16:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -12.88%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -16.62%E -4.96%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 16:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.46%EV -9.12%E -7.54%K -43.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -16.62%E -4.96%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-17 16:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-17 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-17 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-17 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36% | 1.9% | 2026-04-17 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79% | 2.5% | 2026-04-17 16:24 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.41% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.03% | 10.5% | 2026-04-17 07:24 |