L’École des cotesŽalgiris v Paris Basketball
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Žalgiris (Local)
Prévision 75.11%1.33cote équitable
EV -3.11%
Avantage -2.41%
Kelly -10.72%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.29
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.51%75.17%75.10%76.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.211.251.251.2982.64%79.83%80.00%77.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Paris Basketball (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.89%4.02cote équitable
EV +0.806%
Avantage +0.199%
Kelly +0.264%
Croissance +0.002%
avec la cote maximale 4.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.30%24.83%24.90%27.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.833.834.0529.85%26.12%26.11%24.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -7.62%E -6.19%K -33.11%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV +0.806%E +0.199%K +0.264%G +0.002% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| William Hill | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 09:44 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 09:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 09:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 09:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| Unibet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 16:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.86%E -5.54%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -1.68%E -0.426%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| Bovada | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.751%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.93%E -0.751%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 16:34 |
| GTbets | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.98%EV -7.62%E -6.19%K -33.11%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.02%EV -3.18%E -0.816%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 07:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 16:00 |
| Betsson | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 16:33 |
| NordicBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 16:34 |
| TABtouch | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.86%E -5.54%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 16:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.80%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.20%EV -4.67%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90%EV -4.67%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 16:09 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 15:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 15:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 15:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| theScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 16:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.62%E -6.19%K -33.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 16:49 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 07:24 |
| BetMGM | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 07:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 07:24 |
| Neds | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 07:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.66%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.66%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.66%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 16:53 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.86%E -5.54%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.15%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.64%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 16:38 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.88%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 16:55 |
| TAB | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -12.88%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 16:54 |
| BetUS | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -16.62%E -4.96%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 16:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.46%EV -9.12%E -7.54%K -43.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -16.62%E -4.96%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-17 16:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-17 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-17 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-17 16:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36% | 1.9% | 2026-04-17 16:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79% | 2.5% | 2026-04-17 16:24 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.41% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.03% | 10.5% | 2026-04-17 07:24 |