預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Žalgiris v Paris Basketball

開賽時間: 2026-04-17 17:00 UTC

最終賽果: Žalgiris 85–79 Paris Basketball

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

45 家博彩公司 (17 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Žalgiris (主隊)

預測 75.11%1.33公平賠率
EV -3.11%
優勢 -2.41%
Kelly -10.72%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.29

博彩公司預測分布
72.51%75.17%75.10%76.70%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.211.251.251.2982.64%79.83%80.00%77.52%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Paris Basketball (客隊)

預測 24.89%4.02公平賠率
EV +0.806%
優勢 +0.199%
Kelly +0.264%
成長率 +0.002%

假設最高賠率為 4.05

博彩公司預測分布
23.30%24.83%24.90%27.49%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.353.833.834.0529.85%26.12%26.11%24.69%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Žalgiris (主隊):75.11%;Paris Basketball (客隊):24.89%。 對於「Paris Basketball (客隊)」,該估計相當於4.02的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為4.05,對應+0.806%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(3 個賽果,而分析採用 2 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (45 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -7.62%E -6.19%K -33.11%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV +0.806%E +0.199%K +0.264%G +0.002%6.0%2026-04-17 16:54
William Hill🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 09:44
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 09:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 09:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 09:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 16:54
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 16:54
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 16:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 16:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 16:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 16:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 16:49
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.86%E -5.54%K -28.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 16:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -1.68%E -0.426%K -0.570%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 16:54
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.751%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.93%E -0.751%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 16:34
GTbets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.98%EV -7.62%E -6.19%K -33.11%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.02%EV -3.18%E -0.816%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 07:29
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 16:00
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 16:33
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 16:34
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.86%E -5.54%K -28.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 16:50
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.80%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.20%EV -4.67%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-17 15:24
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90%EV -4.67%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 16:09
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 16:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 15:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 15:19
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 16:54
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 16:19
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 16:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 16:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.62%E -6.19%K -33.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 16:49
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 07:24
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 07:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 07:24
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 07:25
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.66%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 16:54
Everygame🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.66%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 15:30
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.66%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 16:53
Codere (IT)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.86%E -5.54%K -28.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.15%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 16:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.64%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 16:38
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.88%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 16:55
TAB🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -12.88%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 16:54
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -16.62%E -4.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 16:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.46%EV -9.12%E -7.54%K -43.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -16.62%E -4.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-17 16:55
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-17 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-17 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-17 16:50
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.9%2026-04-17 16:50
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%2.5%2026-04-17 16:24

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (1)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2選項 3利潤率 ▲更新時間
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.03%10.5%2026-04-17 07:24