Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Žalgiris v Paris Basketball

Inizio: 2026-04-17 17:00 UTC

Finale: Žalgiris 85–79 Paris Basketball

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

45 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Žalgiris (Casa)

Previsione 75.11%1.33quota equa
EV -3.11%
Vantaggio -2.41%
Kelly -10.72%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.29

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
72.51%75.17%75.10%76.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.211.251.251.2982.64%79.83%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Paris Basketball (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.89%4.02quota equa
EV +0.806%
Vantaggio +0.199%
Kelly +0.264%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.30%24.83%24.90%27.49%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.353.833.834.0529.85%26.12%26.11%24.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Žalgiris (Casa): 75.11%; Paris Basketball (Trasferta): 24.89%. Per Paris Basketball (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.02. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 4.05, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.806%.

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -7.62%E -6.19%K -33.11%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV +0.806%E +0.199%K +0.264%G +0.002%6.0%2026-04-17 16:54
William Hill🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 09:44
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 09:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 09:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 09:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 16:54
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 16:54
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 16:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 16:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 16:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 16:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 16:49
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.86%E -5.54%K -28.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.438%E -0.110%K -0.146%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 16:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -1.68%E -0.426%K -0.570%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 16:54
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.93%E -0.751%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.93%E -0.751%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 16:34
GTbets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.98%EV -7.62%E -6.19%K -33.11%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.02%EV -3.18%E -0.816%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 07:29
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 16:00
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 16:33
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 16:34
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.86%E -5.54%K -28.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -4.17%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 16:50
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.80%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.20%EV -4.67%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-17 15:24
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.10%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.90%EV -4.67%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 16:09
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 16:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 15:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.11%E -2.41%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 15:19
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 16:54
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 16:19
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 16:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 16:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.62%E -6.19%K -33.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 16:49
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 07:24
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 07:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 07:24
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.42%E -1.43%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 07:25
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.66%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 16:54
Everygame🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.11%E -4.89%K -24.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.66%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 15:30
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.66%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 16:53
Codere (IT)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.86%E -5.54%K -28.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.15%E -2.51%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 16:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -5.36%E -4.26%K -20.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -11.64%E -3.28%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 16:38
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.86%E -3.02%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.88%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 16:55
TAB🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -12.88%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 16:54
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -4.61%E -3.63%K -17.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -16.62%E -4.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 16:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.46%EV -9.12%E -7.54%K -43.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -16.62%E -4.96%K -7.07%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-17 16:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-17 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-17 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-17 16:50
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.9%2026-04-17 16:50
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 76.21%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%2.5%2026-04-17 16:24

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.41%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.03%10.5%2026-04-17 07:24