Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Virtus Segafredo Bologna v Valencia Basket
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 34.61%2.89kurs godziwy
EV +0.365%
Przewaga +0.126%
Kelly +0.192%
Wzrost +0.001%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.90
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
32.24%34.53%34.57%36.79%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.552.772.752.9039.22%36.14%36.36%34.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Valencia Basket (Goście)
Prognoza 65.39%1.53kurs godziwy
EV -1.91%
Przewaga -1.28%
Kelly -3.83%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.50
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
63.21%65.47%65.43%67.76%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.381.441.431.5072.46%69.68%69.93%66.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
1 bukmacher oferuje na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji (3-opcyjny zamiast 2-opcyjny przyjętych w analizie). Z powodu tej rozbieżności wyniki analizy należy interpretować ostrożnie.
Kursy bukmacherskie (46 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.365%E +0.126%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.365%E +0.126%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.365%E +0.126%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.365%E +0.126%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +0.365%E +0.126%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.76%E -7.07%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.327%E -0.114%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.327%E -0.114%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Unibet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.327%E -0.114%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.327%E -0.114%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.327%E -0.114%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.327%E -0.114%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -2.40%E -0.852%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| Betsson | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 17:05 |
| BetRivers | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.79%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| ReBet | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -4.48%E -1.62%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.87%E -2.64%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 16:59 |
| Bovada | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.87%E -2.64%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 17:33 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 17:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 17:14 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -5.17%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -1.91%E -1.28%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-03 17:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -5.17%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -1.91%E -1.28%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.22%EV -5.17%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.78%EV -2.57%E -1.72%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| GTbets | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -5.86%E -2.16%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.02%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.57%E -1.72%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 18:15 |
| theScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| TAB | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 18:24 |
| Fanatics | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 17:00 |
| Neds | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 17:00 |
| Coral | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 17:13 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 17:14 |
| BetUS | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -11.40%E -4.45%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.21%EV -2.57%E -1.72%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 18:14 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -11.75%E -4.61%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 16:59 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (5)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.1% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41% | 4.0% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
Inni bukmacherzy — nieuwzględnieni w analizie (1)
Ci bukmacherzy oferują na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji i zostali wykluczeni z analizy. Ich kursy podano wyłącznie informacyjnie — zasady rozliczania zakładów mogą być odmienne i powodować dodatkową niepewność.
| Bukmacher | Opcja 1 | Opcja 2 | Opcja 3 | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.50% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44% | 12.0% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |