L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Virtus Segafredo Bologna v Valencia Basket
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Local)
Prévision 34.61%2.89cote équitable
EV +0.365%
Avantage +0.126%
Kelly +0.192%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 2.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.24%34.53%34.57%36.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.772.752.9039.22%36.14%36.36%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Valencia Basket (Visiteur)
Prévision 65.39%1.53cote équitable
EV -1.91%
Avantage -1.28%
Kelly -3.83%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.21%65.47%65.43%67.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.441.431.5072.46%69.68%69.93%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.365%E +0.126%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.365%E +0.126%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.365%E +0.126%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.365%E +0.126%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +0.365%E +0.126%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.76%E -7.07%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.327%E -0.114%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.327%E -0.114%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Unibet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.327%E -0.114%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.327%E -0.114%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.327%E -0.114%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.327%E -0.114%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -2.40%E -0.852%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| Betsson | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 17:05 |
| BetRivers | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.79%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| ReBet | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -4.48%E -1.62%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.87%E -2.64%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 16:59 |
| Bovada | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.87%E -2.64%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 17:33 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 17:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 17:14 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -5.17%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -1.91%E -1.28%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-03 17:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -5.17%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -1.91%E -1.28%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.22%EV -5.17%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.78%EV -2.57%E -1.72%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| GTbets | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -5.86%E -2.16%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.02%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.57%E -1.72%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 18:15 |
| theScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| TAB | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 18:24 |
| Fanatics | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 17:00 |
| Neds | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 17:00 |
| Coral | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 17:13 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 17:14 |
| BetUS | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -11.40%E -4.45%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.21%EV -2.57%E -1.72%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 18:14 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -11.75%E -4.61%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 16:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.1% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41% | 4.0% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.50% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44% | 12.0% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |