Lingua:Italiano
Virtus Segafredo Bologna v Valencia Basket
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Casa)
Previsione 34.61%2.89quota equa
EV +0.365%
Vantaggio +0.126%
Kelly +0.192%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.24%34.53%34.57%36.79%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.772.752.9039.22%36.14%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Valencia Basket (Trasferta)
Previsione 65.39%1.53quota equa
EV -1.91%
Vantaggio -1.28%
Kelly -3.83%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.21%65.47%65.43%67.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.381.441.431.5072.46%69.68%69.93%66.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Casa): 34.61%; Valencia Basket (Trasferta): 65.39%. Per Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.89. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.90, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.365%.
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.365%E +0.126%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.365%E +0.126%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.365%E +0.126%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.365%E +0.126%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +0.365%E +0.126%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.76%E -7.07%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.327%E -0.114%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.327%E -0.114%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.327%E -0.114%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.327%E -0.114%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.327%E -0.114%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.327%E -0.114%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -2.40%E -0.852%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 17:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.79%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -4.48%E -1.62%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.87%E -2.64%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 16:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.87%E -2.64%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 17:33 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 17:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 17:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -5.17%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -1.91%E -1.28%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-03 17:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -5.17%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -1.91%E -1.28%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.22%EV -5.17%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.78%EV -2.57%E -1.72%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -5.86%E -2.16%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.02%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.57%E -1.72%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 18:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 18:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 17:13 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 17:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -11.40%E -4.45%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.21%EV -2.57%E -1.72%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 18:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -11.75%E -4.61%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 16:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.1% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41% | 4.0% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.50% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44% | 12.0% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |