La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Virtus Segafredo Bologna v Valencia Basket
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Virtus Segafredo Bologna (Local)
Predicción 34.61%2.89momio equitativo
EV +0.365%
Ventaja +0.126%
Kelly +0.192%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.24%34.53%34.57%36.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.772.752.9039.22%36.14%36.36%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Valencia Basket (Visitante)
Predicción 65.39%1.53momio equitativo
EV -1.91%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -3.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.21%65.47%65.43%67.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.441.431.5072.46%69.68%69.93%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
1 corredor ofrece un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.365%E +0.126%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.365%E +0.126%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.365%E +0.126%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.365%E +0.126%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +0.365%E +0.126%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.76%E -7.07%K -25.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.327%E -0.114%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.327%E -0.114%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Unibet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.327%E -0.114%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.327%E -0.114%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.327%E -0.114%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -0.327%E -0.114%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -2.40%E -0.852%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| Betsson | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 17:05 |
| BetRivers | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.79%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| ReBet | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -4.48%E -1.62%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.87%E -2.64%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 16:59 |
| Bovada | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.87%E -2.64%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 17:33 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 17:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 17:14 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -5.17%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -1.91%E -1.28%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-03 17:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -5.17%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -1.91%E -1.28%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.22%EV -5.17%E -1.89%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.78%EV -2.57%E -1.72%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| GTbets | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.98%EV -5.86%E -2.16%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.02%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.57%E -1.72%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 18:15 |
| theScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| TAB | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 18:24 |
| Fanatics | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 17:00 |
| Neds | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 17:00 |
| Coral | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 17:13 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 17:14 |
| BetUS | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -11.40%E -4.45%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.21%EV -2.57%E -1.72%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 18:14 |
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -11.75%E -4.61%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 16:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.1% | 2026-04-03 18:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41% | 4.0% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (1)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.50% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.44% | 12.0% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |