Language:English
Real Madrid v Anadolu Efes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Real Madrid (Local)
Prediction 81.85%1.22fair odd
EV -0.141%
Edge -0.116%
Kelly -0.641%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.76%81.79%81.71%83.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.151.151.2290.09%86.68%86.96%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Anadolu Efes (Visit)
Prediction 18.15%5.51fair odd
EV +7.08%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.44%
Growth +0.102%
assuming max odds 5.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.07%18.21%18.29%22.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.165.275.405.9024.04%18.98%18.52%16.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Real Madrid (Local): 81.85%; Anadolu Efes (Visit): 18.15%. For Anadolu Efes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.51. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.08%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -7.51%E -6.64%K -57.75%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV +7.08%E +1.20%K +1.44%G +0.102% | 5.4% | 2026-03-26 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +5.26%E +0.907%K +1.10%G +0.058% | 3.4% | 2026-03-26 18:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -7.51%E -6.64%K -57.75%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +4.35%E +0.757%K +0.916%G +0.040% | 5.9% | 2026-03-26 18:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -9.14%E -8.24%K -83.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +4.35%E +0.757%K +0.916%G +0.040% | 7.5% | 2026-03-26 15:38 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -9.14%E -8.24%K -83.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +4.35%E +0.757%K +0.916%G +0.040% | 7.5% | 2026-03-26 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -9.14%E -8.24%K -83.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +4.35%E +0.757%K +0.916%G +0.040% | 7.5% | 2026-03-26 15:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +1.63%E +0.291%K +0.354%G +0.006% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 18:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 16:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 16:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 16:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 16:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 18:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 18:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.69%E -5.87%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-26 19:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.51%E -6.64%K -57.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-26 15:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.33%E -7.43%K -69.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-26 18:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -9.14%E -8.24%K -83.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-26 15:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.00%E -0.370%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.00%E -0.370%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.00%E -0.370%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.00%E -0.370%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.00%E -0.370%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.00%E -0.370%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.13%EV -6.69%E -5.87%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 17.87%EV -4.90%E -0.936%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-26 15:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.69%E -5.87%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.63%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-26 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -3.42%E -2.89%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -6.54%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-26 15:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -3.42%E -2.89%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -6.54%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-26 15:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%EV -1.78%E -1.48%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05%EV -7.44%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-26 15:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -7.44%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -7.44%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -7.44%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-26 19:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -7.51%E -6.64%K -57.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -7.44%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-26 19:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.93%EV -2.60%E -2.18%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.07%EV -8.35%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.42%E -2.89%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.26%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.42%E -2.89%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.26%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 15:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.26%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-26 18:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.51%E -6.64%K -57.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.26%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 19:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.51%E -6.64%K -57.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.26%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 19:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.51%E -6.64%K -57.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.26%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 19:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.60%E -2.18%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -11.07%E -2.26%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 15:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -12.89%E -2.69%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.42%E -2.89%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -13.80%E -2.90%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 15:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -4.23%E -3.62%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -16.52%E -3.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-26 19:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -0.141%E -0.116%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -19.24%E -4.32%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 15:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.76%EV -2.60%E -2.18%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.24%EV -24.50%E -5.89%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-26 19:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15% | 2.3% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 19:35 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30% | 10.9% | 2026-03-26 15:40 |