La scuola delle quote

Real Madrid v Anadolu Efes

Inizio: 2026-03-26 19:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Real Madrid (Casa)

Previsione 81.85%1.22quota equa
EV -0.141%
Vantaggio -0.116%
Kelly -0.641%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.22

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
77.76%81.79%81.71%83.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.111.151.151.2290.09%86.68%86.96%81.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Anadolu Efes (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.15%5.51quota equa
EV +7.08%
Vantaggio +1.20%
Kelly +1.44%
Crescita +0.102%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.07%18.21%18.29%22.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.165.275.405.9024.04%18.98%18.52%16.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
FanDuel1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -7.51%E -6.64%K -57.75%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV +7.08%E +1.20%K +1.44%G +0.102%5.4%2026-03-26 18:20
1xBet1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +5.26%E +0.907%K +1.10%G +0.058%3.4%2026-03-26 18:49
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -7.51%E -6.64%K -57.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +4.35%E +0.757%K +0.916%G +0.040%5.9%2026-03-26 18:19
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -9.14%E -8.24%K -83.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +4.35%E +0.757%K +0.916%G +0.040%7.5%2026-03-26 15:38
Ladbrokes (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -9.14%E -8.24%K -83.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +4.35%E +0.757%K +0.916%G +0.040%7.5%2026-03-26 15:40
Neds1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -9.14%E -8.24%K -83.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +4.35%E +0.757%K +0.916%G +0.040%7.5%2026-03-26 15:39
Winamax (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +1.63%E +0.291%K +0.354%G +0.006%4.8%2026-03-26 18:19
William Hill1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 16:44
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 16:35
Unibet (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 18:20
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 16:34
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 16:34
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 18:10
NordicBet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 18:10
ReBet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-26 18:19
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.69%E -5.87%K -47.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-26 19:04
theScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.51%E -6.64%K -57.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-26 15:40
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.33%E -7.43%K -69.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-26 18:19
BetMGM1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -9.14%E -8.24%K -83.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-26 15:39
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.00%E -0.370%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 19:40
Unibet (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.00%E -0.370%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 19:40
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.00%E -0.370%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 19:39
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.00%E -0.370%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 19:39
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.00%E -0.370%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 19:39
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.00%E -0.370%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 19:40
GTbets1.14I 87.72%NM 82.13%EV -6.69%E -5.87%K -47.78%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 17.87%EV -4.90%E -0.936%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-26 15:35
Fanatics1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.69%E -5.87%K -47.78%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.63%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 18:09
LowVig.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -3.42%E -2.89%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -6.54%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 15:40
BetOnline.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -3.42%E -2.89%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -6.54%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 15:39
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%EV -1.78%E -1.48%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05%EV -7.44%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-26 15:45
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -7.44%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -7.44%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 19:40
TABtouch1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -7.44%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-26 19:35
Winamax (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -7.51%E -6.64%K -57.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -7.44%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-26 19:04
Pinnacle1.19I 84.03%NM 80.93%EV -2.60%E -2.18%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.07%EV -8.35%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 19:25
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.42%E -2.89%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.26%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 19:39
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.42%E -2.89%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.26%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 15:35
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.26%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-26 18:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.51%E -6.64%K -57.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.26%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 19:35
MyBookie.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.51%E -6.64%K -57.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.26%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 19:14
Codere (IT)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.51%E -6.64%K -57.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.26%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-26 19:05
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.60%E -2.18%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -11.07%E -2.26%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 15:40
TAB1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -12.89%E -2.69%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 19:40
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.42%E -2.89%K -18.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -13.80%E -2.90%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 15:39
PlayUp1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -4.23%E -3.62%K -24.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -16.52%E -3.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-26 19:19
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -0.141%E -0.116%K -0.641%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -19.24%E -4.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 15:35
BetUS1.19I 84.03%NM 77.76%EV -2.60%E -2.18%K -13.67%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.24%EV -24.50%E -5.89%K -7.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-26 19:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-03-26 19:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-03-26 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-03-26 19:40
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15%2.3%2026-03-26 19:40
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%4.0%2026-03-26 19:35

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%10.9%2026-03-26 15:40