L’École des cotesFrançais
Real Madrid v Anadolu Efes
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Real Madrid (Local)
Prévision 81.85%1.22cote équitable
EV -0.141%
Avantage -0.116%
Kelly -0.641%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.22
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
77.76%81.79%81.71%83.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.111.151.151.2290.09%86.68%86.96%81.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Anadolu Efes (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.15%5.51cote équitable
EV +7.08%
Avantage +1.20%
Kelly +1.44%
Croissance +0.102%
avec la cote maximale 5.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.07%18.21%18.29%22.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.165.275.405.9024.04%18.98%18.52%16.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -7.51%E -6.64%K -57.75%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV +7.08%E +1.20%K +1.44%G +0.102% | 5.4% | 2026-03-26 18:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +5.26%E +0.907%K +1.10%G +0.058% | 3.4% | 2026-03-26 18:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -7.51%E -6.64%K -57.75%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +4.35%E +0.757%K +0.916%G +0.040% | 5.9% | 2026-03-26 18:19 |
| Coral | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -9.14%E -8.24%K -83.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +4.35%E +0.757%K +0.916%G +0.040% | 7.5% | 2026-03-26 15:38 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -9.14%E -8.24%K -83.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +4.35%E +0.757%K +0.916%G +0.040% | 7.5% | 2026-03-26 15:40 |
| Neds | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -9.14%E -8.24%K -83.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +4.35%E +0.757%K +0.916%G +0.040% | 7.5% | 2026-03-26 15:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +1.63%E +0.291%K +0.354%G +0.006% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 18:19 |
| William Hill | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 16:44 |
| 888sport | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 16:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 16:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 16:34 |
| Betsson | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 18:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 18:10 |
| ReBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 18:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.69%E -5.87%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-26 19:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.51%E -6.64%K -57.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-26 15:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.33%E -7.43%K -69.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-26 18:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -9.14%E -8.24%K -83.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-26 15:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.00%E -0.370%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.00%E -0.370%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| Unibet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.00%E -0.370%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.00%E -0.370%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.00%E -0.370%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.00%E -0.370%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| GTbets | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.13%EV -6.69%E -5.87%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 17.87%EV -4.90%E -0.936%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-26 15:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.69%E -5.87%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.63%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-26 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -3.42%E -2.89%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -6.54%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-26 15:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -3.42%E -2.89%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -6.54%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-26 15:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%EV -1.78%E -1.48%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05%EV -7.44%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-26 15:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -7.44%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -7.44%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -7.44%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-26 19:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -7.51%E -6.64%K -57.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -7.44%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-26 19:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.93%EV -2.60%E -2.18%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.07%EV -8.35%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Betway | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.42%E -2.89%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.26%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| Bovada | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.42%E -2.89%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.26%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 15:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.26%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-26 18:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.51%E -6.64%K -57.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.26%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 19:35 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.51%E -6.64%K -57.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.26%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 19:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.51%E -6.64%K -57.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.26%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 19:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.60%E -2.18%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -11.07%E -2.26%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 15:40 |
| TAB | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -12.89%E -2.69%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| Everygame | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.42%E -2.89%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -13.80%E -2.90%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 15:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -4.23%E -3.62%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -16.52%E -3.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-26 19:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -0.141%E -0.116%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -19.24%E -4.32%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 15:35 |
| BetUS | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.76%EV -2.60%E -2.18%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.24%EV -24.50%E -5.89%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-26 19:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15% | 2.3% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 19:35 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (1)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30% | 10.9% | 2026-03-26 15:40 |