La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Real Madrid v Anadolu Efes
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Real Madrid (Local)
Predicción 81.85%1.22momio equitativo
EV -0.141%
Ventaja -0.116%
Kelly -0.641%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
77.76%81.79%81.71%83.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.111.151.151.2290.09%86.68%86.96%81.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Anadolu Efes (Visitante)
Predicción 18.15%5.51momio equitativo
EV +7.08%
Ventaja +1.20%
Kelly +1.44%
Crecimiento +0.102%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.07%18.21%18.29%22.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.165.275.405.9024.04%18.98%18.52%16.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
1 corredor ofrece un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -7.51%E -6.64%K -57.75%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV +7.08%E +1.20%K +1.44%G +0.102% | 5.4% | 2026-03-26 18:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV +5.26%E +0.907%K +1.10%G +0.058% | 3.4% | 2026-03-26 18:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -7.51%E -6.64%K -57.75%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +4.35%E +0.757%K +0.916%G +0.040% | 5.9% | 2026-03-26 18:19 |
| Coral | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -9.14%E -8.24%K -83.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +4.35%E +0.757%K +0.916%G +0.040% | 7.5% | 2026-03-26 15:38 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -9.14%E -8.24%K -83.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +4.35%E +0.757%K +0.916%G +0.040% | 7.5% | 2026-03-26 15:40 |
| Neds | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -9.14%E -8.24%K -83.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +4.35%E +0.757%K +0.916%G +0.040% | 7.5% | 2026-03-26 15:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +1.63%E +0.291%K +0.354%G +0.006% | 4.8% | 2026-03-26 18:19 |
| William Hill | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 16:44 |
| 888sport | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 16:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 16:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 16:34 |
| Betsson | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 18:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 18:10 |
| ReBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-26 18:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.69%E -5.87%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-26 19:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.51%E -6.64%K -57.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-26 15:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.33%E -7.43%K -69.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-26 18:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -9.14%E -8.24%K -83.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -0.184%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-26 15:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.00%E -0.370%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.00%E -0.370%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| Unibet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.00%E -0.370%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.00%E -0.370%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.00%E -0.370%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.32%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.68%EV -2.00%E -0.370%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| GTbets | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.13%EV -6.69%E -5.87%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 17.87%EV -4.90%E -0.936%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-26 15:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.69%E -5.87%K -47.78%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.63%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-26 18:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -3.42%E -2.89%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -6.54%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-26 15:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -3.42%E -2.89%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV -6.54%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-26 15:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.95%EV -1.78%E -1.48%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05%EV -7.44%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-26 15:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -7.44%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.47%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -7.44%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -5.87%E -5.10%K -39.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -7.44%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-26 19:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -7.51%E -6.64%K -57.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV -7.44%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-26 19:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.93%EV -2.60%E -2.18%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.07%EV -8.35%E -1.65%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 19:25 |
| Betway | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.42%E -2.89%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.26%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| Bovada | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.42%E -2.89%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.26%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 15:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -9.26%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-26 18:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.51%E -6.64%K -57.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.26%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 19:35 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.51%E -6.64%K -57.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.26%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 19:14 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.51%E -6.64%K -57.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -9.26%E -1.85%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-26 19:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.60%E -2.18%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -11.07%E -2.26%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 15:40 |
| TAB | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.05%E -4.36%K -31.58%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -12.89%E -2.69%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| Everygame | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -3.42%E -2.89%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -13.80%E -2.90%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 15:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -4.23%E -3.62%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -16.52%E -3.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-26 19:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -0.141%E -0.116%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -19.24%E -4.32%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 15:35 |
| BetUS | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.76%EV -2.60%E -2.18%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.24%EV -24.50%E -5.89%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-26 19:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-26 19:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 0.7% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.85% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.15% | 2.3% | 2026-03-26 19:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.50% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 19:35 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (1)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30% | 10.9% | 2026-03-26 15:40 |