Language:English
Panathinaikos v AS Monaco
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Panathinaikos (Local)
Prediction 78.67%1.27fair odd
EV +0.700%
Edge +0.547%
Kelly +2.50%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.54%78.69%78.69%80.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.211.211.2885.47%82.89%82.64%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AS Monaco (Visit)
Prediction 21.33%4.69fair odd
EV +4.51%
Edge +0.920%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.052%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.28%21.31%21.31%25.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.634.384.404.9027.55%22.82%22.73%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panathinaikos (Local): 78.67%; AS Monaco (Visit): 21.33%. For AS Monaco (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.69. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.51%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +4.51%E +0.920%K +1.16%G +0.052% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 18:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +4.51%E +0.920%K +1.16%G +0.052% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +4.51%E +0.920%K +1.16%G +0.052% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 18:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +4.51%E +0.920%K +1.16%G +0.052% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -7.95%E -6.80%K -46.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +4.51%E +0.920%K +1.16%G +0.052% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +0.243%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 18:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 18:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 18:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.95%E -6.80%K -46.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-27 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-27 18:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-27 18:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 17:28 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.95%E -6.80%K -46.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 12:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 17:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 17:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 17:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 17:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-27 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.95%E -6.80%K -46.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 17:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.95%E -6.80%K -46.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 17:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.95%E -6.80%K -46.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 17:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.45%E -1.97%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 19:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 13:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 18:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 18:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 18:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 12:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -2.45%E -1.97%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 02:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 02:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 02:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 02:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.81%E -3.97%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.66%E -1.33%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -14.69%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 18:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.69%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 16:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.69%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 11:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.38%EV +0.700%E +0.547%K +2.50%G +0.017% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.62%EV -16.39%E -4.18%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -0.087%E -0.068%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.54%EV -2.45%E -1.97%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.46%EV -22.58%E -6.22%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 19:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 0.2% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-03-27 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-03-27 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-03-27 19:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99% | 3.4% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.72% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.35% | 10.0% | 2026-03-27 17:30 |