La scuola delle quote

Panathinaikos v AS Monaco

Inizio: 2026-03-27 19:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Panathinaikos (Casa)

Previsione 78.67%1.27quota equa
EV +0.700%
Vantaggio +0.547%
Kelly +2.50%
Crescita +0.017%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
74.54%78.69%78.69%80.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.171.211.211.2885.47%82.89%82.64%78.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

AS Monaco (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.33%4.69quota equa
EV +4.51%
Vantaggio +0.920%
Kelly +1.16%
Crescita +0.052%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.28%21.31%21.31%25.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.634.384.404.9027.55%22.82%22.73%20.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +4.51%E +0.920%K +1.16%G +0.052%5.2%2026-03-27 18:25
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +4.51%E +0.920%K +1.16%G +0.052%5.2%2026-03-26 08:50
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +4.51%E +0.920%K +1.16%G +0.052%5.2%2026-03-27 18:29
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +4.51%E +0.920%K +1.16%G +0.052%5.2%2026-03-27 18:25
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -7.95%E -6.80%K -46.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +4.51%E +0.920%K +1.16%G +0.052%5.9%2026-03-27 18:25
Winamax (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +0.243%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-27 18:24
Pinnacle1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-27 19:05
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 18:24
ReBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 18:45
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.95%E -6.80%K -46.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 18:25
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 17:55
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-27 17:55
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 18:29
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 18:24
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 17:28
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.95%E -6.80%K -46.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-27 12:59
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 17:35
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 17:35
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 17:34
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 17:35
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 17:35
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-27 17:34
GTbets1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-27 17:29
Fanatics1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.58%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.95%E -6.80%K -46.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 17:29
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.95%E -6.80%K -46.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 17:30
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.95%E -6.80%K -46.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 17:30
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.45%E -1.97%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 19:10
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 13:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 19:05
MyBookie.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 18:34
Winamax (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 18:45
Codere (IT)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 18:29
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 18:40
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 12:30
William Hill1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -2.45%E -1.97%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-27 02:55
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 02:49
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 02:49
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 02:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-27 18:40
TABtouch1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.81%E -3.97%K -22.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-27 18:40
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.66%E -1.33%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -14.69%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 18:59
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.69%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 16:45
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.69%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-27 11:55
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 75.38%EV +0.700%E +0.547%K +2.50%G +0.017%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.62%EV -16.39%E -4.18%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-27 19:05
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -0.087%E -0.068%K -0.322%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 19:05
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 74.54%EV -2.45%E -1.97%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.46%EV -22.58%E -6.22%K -8.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 19:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79%0.2%2026-03-27 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-03-27 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-03-27 19:10
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-03-27 19:10
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%3.4%2026-03-27 19:05

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.72%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.35%10.0%2026-03-27 17:30