L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.28
avec la cote maximale 4.90
1 opérateur propose un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +4.51%E +0.920%K +1.16%G +0.052% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 18:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +4.51%E +0.920%K +1.16%G +0.052% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 08:50 |
| Betsson | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +4.51%E +0.920%K +1.16%G +0.052% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 18:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +4.51%E +0.920%K +1.16%G +0.052% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 18:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -7.95%E -6.80%K -46.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +4.51%E +0.920%K +1.16%G +0.052% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +0.243%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 18:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 18:24 |
| ReBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 18:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.95%E -6.80%K -46.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-27 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 17:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-27 18:29 |
| Everygame | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-27 18:24 |
| BetMGM | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 17:28 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.95%E -6.80%K -46.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 12:59 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 17:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 17:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 17:34 |
| GTbets | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 17:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-27 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.95%E -6.80%K -46.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 17:29 |
| Coral | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.95%E -6.80%K -46.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 17:30 |
| Neds | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.95%E -6.80%K -46.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 17:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.45%E -1.97%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 19:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 13:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 18:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 18:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 18:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 18:40 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 12:30 |
| William Hill | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -2.45%E -1.97%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 02:55 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 02:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 02:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 02:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 18:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.81%E -3.97%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 18:40 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.66%E -1.33%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -14.69%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 18:59 |
| TAB | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.69%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 16:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.69%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 11:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.38%EV +0.700%E +0.547%K +2.50%G +0.017% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.62%EV -16.39%E -4.18%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -0.087%E -0.068%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| BetUS | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.54%EV -2.45%E -1.97%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.46%EV -22.58%E -6.22%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 19:10 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 0.2% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-03-27 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-03-27 19:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-03-27 19:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99% | 3.4% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.72% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.35% | 10.0% | 2026-03-27 17:30 |