La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Panathinaikos v AS Monaco
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Panathinaikos (Local)
Predicción 78.67%1.27momio equitativo
EV +0.700%
Ventaja +0.547%
Kelly +2.50%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.54%78.69%78.69%80.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.171.211.211.2885.47%82.89%82.64%78.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
AS Monaco (Visitante)
Predicción 21.33%4.69momio equitativo
EV +4.51%
Ventaja +0.920%
Kelly +1.16%
Crecimiento +0.052%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.28%21.31%21.31%25.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.634.384.404.9027.55%22.82%22.73%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
1 corredor ofrece un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +4.51%E +0.920%K +1.16%G +0.052% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 18:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +4.51%E +0.920%K +1.16%G +0.052% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 08:50 |
| Betsson | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +4.51%E +0.920%K +1.16%G +0.052% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 18:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +4.51%E +0.920%K +1.16%G +0.052% | 5.2% | 2026-03-27 18:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -7.95%E -6.80%K -46.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +4.51%E +0.920%K +1.16%G +0.052% | 5.9% | 2026-03-27 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +0.243%E +0.052%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-27 18:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 18:24 |
| ReBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 18:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.95%E -6.80%K -46.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.89%E -0.411%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-27 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 17:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-27 18:29 |
| Everygame | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-27 18:24 |
| BetMGM | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 17:28 |
| Paddy Power | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.95%E -6.80%K -46.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.02%E -0.894%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 12:59 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 17:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 17:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 17:34 |
| GTbets | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 17:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.38%E -5.36%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-27 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.95%E -6.80%K -46.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 17:29 |
| Coral | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.95%E -6.80%K -46.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 17:30 |
| Neds | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -7.95%E -6.80%K -46.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -6.16%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 17:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.45%E -1.97%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 19:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.59%E -4.66%K -27.97%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 13:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 18:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 18:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.17%E -6.07%K -39.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.29%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-27 18:29 |
| BetRivers | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 18:40 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 12:30 |
| William Hill | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -2.45%E -1.97%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-27 02:55 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 02:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 02:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 02:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 18:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.81%E -3.97%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 18:40 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.66%E -1.33%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -14.69%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 18:59 |
| TAB | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.69%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 16:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.02%E -3.30%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.69%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 11:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.38%EV +0.700%E +0.547%K +2.50%G +0.017% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.62%EV -16.39%E -4.18%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -0.087%E -0.068%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| BetUS | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.54%EV -2.45%E -1.97%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.46%EV -22.58%E -6.22%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-27 19:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.79% | 0.2% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-03-27 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-03-27 19:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-03-27 19:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99% | 3.4% | 2026-03-27 19:05 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (1)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.72% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.93% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.35% | 10.0% | 2026-03-27 17:30 |