Language:English
Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano v FC Bayern München
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Local)
Prediction 68.56%1.46fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -4.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.27%68.66%68.52%70.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.381.381.4374.07%72.28%72.46%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Bayern München (Visit)
Prediction 31.44%3.18fair odd
EV +3.43%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.50%
Growth +0.051%
assuming max odds 3.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.25%31.34%31.48%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.013.003.2936.36%33.26%33.33%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano (Local): 68.56%; FC Bayern München (Visit): 31.44%. For FC Bayern München (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.18. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.29, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.43%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV +3.43%E +1.04%K +1.50%G +0.051% | 3.9% | 2026-04-09 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV +2.17%E +0.668%K +0.965%G +0.021% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 14:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.971%E -0.308%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.971%E -0.308%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.971%E -0.308%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-09 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.54%E -0.820%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 13:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.07%E -4.43%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.54%E -0.820%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.820%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 13:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.820%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 13:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.820%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 13:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.54%E -0.820%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.46%EV -3.33%E -2.36%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.54%EV -3.80%E -1.24%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-09 17:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 21:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.12%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 21:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -4.43%E -1.46%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 07:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -4.74%E -1.57%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 14:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -5.06%E -1.67%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-09 12:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%EV -4.70%E -3.38%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.59%EV -5.37%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 18:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 15:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 18:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 18:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 13:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-09 14:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 00:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.44%E -5.51%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.69%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-09 09:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.26%E -2.46%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-09 18:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.22%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.78%EV -8.20%E -2.81%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 16:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -1.96%E -1.37%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 14:53 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 18:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.38%E -3.90%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.83%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 18:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -6.76%E -4.97%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -9.77%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-08 21:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.55%E -4.93%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.55%E -4.93%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 14:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.01%E -2.87%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -13.55%E -4.93%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 14:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-04-09 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-04-09 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.2% | 2026-04-09 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 2.7% | 2026-04-09 18:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77% | 3.2% | 2026-04-09 18:25 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.02% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.12% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87% | 12.0% | 2026-04-08 14:54 |